Official observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station (LFPB), as reported by Weather Underground and aligned with Météo-France METAR data, confirm the highest temperature on April 19, 2026, peaked at 18°C, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability. Partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and high pressure over northern France capped daytime heating, matching pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts of 17-18°C amid slightly above-average spring conditions (monthly Paris max average ~18.7°C). This positioning reflects low uncertainty in finalized hourly records, with historical mid-April highs in the region typically 15-18°C. Realistic challenges would require rare post-quality-control data revisions at the resolution station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月19日巴黎气温最高?
18°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$231,503 交易量
$231,503 交易量
13°C或以下
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
是
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C或更高
否
18°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$231,503 交易量
$231,503 交易量
13°C或以下
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
是
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station (LFPB), as reported by Weather Underground and aligned with Météo-France METAR data, confirm the highest temperature on April 19, 2026, peaked at 18°C, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability. Partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and high pressure over northern France capped daytime heating, matching pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts of 17-18°C amid slightly above-average spring conditions (monthly Paris max average ~18.7°C). This positioning reflects low uncertainty in finalized hourly records, with historical mid-April highs in the region typically 15-18°C. Realistic challenges would require rare post-quality-control data revisions at the resolution station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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