Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting numerical weather models have converged on a daily maximum of 27°C at Paris-area stations, including the resolution site at Paris-Le Bourget Airport, under stable high pressure with light winds and limited cloud cover. This consensus aligns with mid-June climatology for the region while incorporating current synoptic conditions that suppress both stronger warming and cooling influences. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for exactly 27°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow resolution window. Unexpected shifts in afternoon insolation, a late sea-breeze intrusion, or minor measurement variations at the official station remain the primary variables that could still alter the recorded high before the day closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Paris on June 15?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 15?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$137,230 交易量
$137,230 交易量
2026-06-15
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$137,230 交易量
$137,230 交易量
2026-06-15
22°C or below
$502 交易量
No
23°C
$5,541 交易量
No
24°C
$6,856 交易量
No
25°C
$7,917 交易量
No
26°C
$9,359 交易量
No
27°C
$32,738 交易量
Yes
28°C
$18,435 交易量
No
29°C
$19,118 交易量
No
30°C
$15,788 交易量
No
31°C
$16,146 交易量
No
32°C or higher
$4,829 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting numerical weather models have converged on a daily maximum of 27°C at Paris-area stations, including the resolution site at Paris-Le Bourget Airport, under stable high pressure with light winds and limited cloud cover. This consensus aligns with mid-June climatology for the region while incorporating current synoptic conditions that suppress both stronger warming and cooling influences. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for exactly 27°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow resolution window. Unexpected shifts in afternoon insolation, a late sea-breeze intrusion, or minor measurement variations at the official station remain the primary variables that could still alter the recorded high before the day closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$137,230结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting numerical weather models have converged on a daily maximum of 27°C at Paris-area stations, including the resolution site at Paris-Le Bourget Airport, under stable high pressure with light winds and limited cloud cover. This consensus aligns with mid-June climatology for the region while incorporating current synoptic conditions that suppress both stronger warming and cooling influences. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for exactly 27°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow resolution window. Unexpected shifts in afternoon insolation, a late sea-breeze intrusion, or minor measurement variations at the official station remain the primary variables that could still alter the recorded high before the day closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$137,230结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting numerical weather models have converged on a daily maximum of 27°C at Paris-area stations, including the resolution site at Paris-Le Bourget Airport, under stable high pressure with light winds and limited cloud cover. This consensus aligns with mid-June climatology for the region while incorporating current synoptic conditions that suppress both stronger warming and cooling influences. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for exactly 27°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow resolution window. Unexpected shifts in afternoon insolation, a late sea-breeze intrusion, or minor measurement variations at the official station remain the primary variables that could still alter the recorded high before the day closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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