Official observations from Météo-France's Paris-Montsouris reference station, the authoritative source for the city's climate records, confirm the highest temperature on May 3 reached exactly 21°C amid mild spring conditions with partly cloudy skies and light winds. This measurement, finalized in preliminary daily reports, aligns with ensemble forecast models from prior days predicting highs in the 18–21°C range under a stable high-pressure system over Western Europe, consistent with early May climatological norms averaging 18–19°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified data, backed by real capital. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from quality control—such as recalibrations or overlooked station readings exceeding the threshold—though urban reference sites like Montsouris rarely see adjustments post-publication. Final monthly climatology updates expected later this month.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Paris on May 3?
21°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$196,541 交易量
$196,541 交易量
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$196,541 交易量
$196,541 交易量
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 1, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from Météo-France's Paris-Montsouris reference station, the authoritative source for the city's climate records, confirm the highest temperature on May 3 reached exactly 21°C amid mild spring conditions with partly cloudy skies and light winds. This measurement, finalized in preliminary daily reports, aligns with ensemble forecast models from prior days predicting highs in the 18–21°C range under a stable high-pressure system over Western Europe, consistent with early May climatological norms averaging 18–19°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified data, backed by real capital. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from quality control—such as recalibrations or overlooked station readings exceeding the threshold—though urban reference sites like Montsouris rarely see adjustments post-publication. Final monthly climatology updates expected later this month.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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