Official observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station, the designated resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 20°C on May 8, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome amid mild spring conditions following a cool early-May northerly flow that capped prior highs at 15–17°C. Météo-France data and forecast models like ECMWF aligned closely with this reading, reflecting advection of temperate Atlantic air under neutral ENSO influences, consistent with Paris's climatological May average of 19°C. With data verified to whole-degree precision, only a rare official revision—such as sensor recalibration—could challenge resolution, though historical precedents show such changes affect less than 1% of daily records. Traders await no further updates as the market nears closure.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Paris on May 8?
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$126,577 交易量
$126,577 交易量
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$126,577 交易量
$126,577 交易量
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 6, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station, the designated resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 20°C on May 8, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome amid mild spring conditions following a cool early-May northerly flow that capped prior highs at 15–17°C. Météo-France data and forecast models like ECMWF aligned closely with this reading, reflecting advection of temperate Atlantic air under neutral ENSO influences, consistent with Paris's climatological May average of 19°C. With data verified to whole-degree precision, only a rare official revision—such as sensor recalibration—could challenge resolution, though historical precedents show such changes affect less than 1% of daily records. Traders await no further updates as the market nears closure.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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