Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 21°C at 100% implied probability for Qingdao's highest temperature on April 29, driven by official observations from Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD), the market's resolution source, which recorded a midday peak of 21°C per recent METAR reports amid clear skies and light southwest winds. China Meteorological Administration forecasts aligned with this, projecting a 19-21°C high under typical spring diurnal heating patterns, consistent with April climatology where daily maxima average 15-18°C but vary with high-pressure influence. Current evening cooling to around 16°C, post-sunset, solidifies this positioning; a realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon measurement revision or unreported sensor anomaly before daily close, with final data expected from CMA by midnight local time.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月29日青岛气温最高？
4月29日青岛气温最高？
21°C 100.0%
17°C及以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$32,742 交易量
$32,742 交易量
2026-04-29
17°C及以下
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
是
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C或更高
否
21°C 100.0%
17°C及以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$32,742 交易量
$32,742 交易量
2026-04-29
17°C及以下
$9,587 交易量
否
18°C
$6,786 交易量
否
19°C
$2,835 交易量
否
20°C
$2,108 交易量
否
21°C
$8,081 交易量
是
22°C
$904 交易量
否
23°C
$352 交易量
否
24°C
$184 交易量
否
25°C
$1,343 交易量
否
26°C
$254 交易量
否
27°C或更高
$308 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 21°C at 100% implied probability for Qingdao's highest temperature on April 29, driven by official observations from Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD), the market's resolution source, which recorded a midday peak of 21°C per recent METAR reports amid clear skies and light southwest winds. China Meteorological Administration forecasts aligned with this, projecting a 19-21°C high under typical spring diurnal heating patterns, consistent with April climatology where daily maxima average 15-18°C but vary with high-pressure influence. Current evening cooling to around 16°C, post-sunset, solidifies this positioning; a realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon measurement revision or unreported sensor anomaly before daily close, with final data expected from CMA by midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 27, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
交易量
$32,742结束日期
2026-04-29市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 6:10 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 21°C at 100% implied probability for Qingdao's highest temperature on April 29, driven by official observations from Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD), the market's resolution source, which recorded a midday peak of 21°C per recent METAR reports amid clear skies and light southwest winds. China Meteorological Administration forecasts aligned with this, projecting a 19-21°C high under typical spring diurnal heating patterns, consistent with April climatology where daily maxima average 15-18°C but vary with high-pressure influence. Current evening cooling to around 16°C, post-sunset, solidifies this positioning; a realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon measurement revision or unreported sensor anomaly before daily close, with final data expected from CMA by midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$32,742结束日期
2026-04-29市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 6:10 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 21°C at 100% implied probability for Qingdao's highest temperature on April 29, driven by official observations from Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD), the market's resolution source, which recorded a midday peak of 21°C per recent METAR reports amid clear skies and light southwest winds. China Meteorological Administration forecasts aligned with this, projecting a 19-21°C high under typical spring diurnal heating patterns, consistent with April climatology where daily maxima average 15-18°C but vary with high-pressure influence. Current evening cooling to around 16°C, post-sunset, solidifies this positioning; a realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon measurement revision or unreported sensor anomaly before daily close, with final data expected from CMA by midnight local time.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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