Recent forecasts for Qingdao indicate daytime highs near 26°C on July 4 under persistent cloud cover and northeasterly onshore flow from the Yellow Sea, which typically suppresses maximum temperatures through marine moderation and elevated humidity near 80%. This aligns with early-July climatology of 27–29°C averages while highlighting why 30–32°C outcomes hold elevated market-implied odds: brief clearing or warmer inland advection could allow greater solar heating and push readings higher. Numerical weather models show modest spread on boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing, creating the tight clustering around 30–32°C versus cooler bins. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月4日青岛气温最高？
7月4日青岛气温最高？
30°C 100.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$60,788 交易量
$60,788 交易量
2026-07-04
23°C或以下
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
是
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C或更高
否
30°C 100.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$60,788 交易量
$60,788 交易量
2026-07-04
23°C或以下
$3,143 交易量
否
24°C
$1,975 交易量
否
25°C
$2,509 交易量
否
26°C
$4,160 交易量
否
27°C
$12,339 交易量
否
28°C
$5,537 交易量
否
29°C
$9,907 交易量
否
30°C
$7,115 交易量
是
31°C
$3,982 交易量
否
32°C
$4,257 交易量
否
33°C或更高
$5,865 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Qingdao indicate daytime highs near 26°C on July 4 under persistent cloud cover and northeasterly onshore flow from the Yellow Sea, which typically suppresses maximum temperatures through marine moderation and elevated humidity near 80%. This aligns with early-July climatology of 27–29°C averages while highlighting why 30–32°C outcomes hold elevated market-implied odds: brief clearing or warmer inland advection could allow greater solar heating and push readings higher. Numerical weather models show modest spread on boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing, creating the tight clustering around 30–32°C versus cooler bins. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$60,788结束日期
2026-07-04市场开放时间
Jul 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Qingdao indicate daytime highs near 26°C on July 4 under persistent cloud cover and northeasterly onshore flow from the Yellow Sea, which typically suppresses maximum temperatures through marine moderation and elevated humidity near 80%. This aligns with early-July climatology of 27–29°C averages while highlighting why 30–32°C outcomes hold elevated market-implied odds: brief clearing or warmer inland advection could allow greater solar heating and push readings higher. Numerical weather models show modest spread on boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing, creating the tight clustering around 30–32°C versus cooler bins. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$60,788结束日期
2026-07-04市场开放时间
Jul 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent forecasts for Qingdao indicate daytime highs near 26°C on July 4 under persistent cloud cover and northeasterly onshore flow from the Yellow Sea, which typically suppresses maximum temperatures through marine moderation and elevated humidity near 80%. This aligns with early-July climatology of 27–29°C averages while highlighting why 30–32°C outcomes hold elevated market-implied odds: brief clearing or warmer inland advection could allow greater solar heating and push readings higher. Numerical weather models show modest spread on boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing, creating the tight clustering around 30–32°C versus cooler bins. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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