**Trader consensus on a 30°C high for Qingdao on June 11, 2026, reflects the latest official forecasts and observational data locking in that exact maximum.** China Meteorological Administration guidance and international model outputs, including recent runs from sources aligned with AccuWeather and local monitoring, project a peak of 30°C under fine, stable conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover. Current surface readings show temperatures climbing steadily toward this level without breaching it, aligning with typical early-June climatology for the coastal Shandong region where diurnal heating peaks in the low-30s Celsius range absent strong marine influence or frontal systems. The near-100% market-implied probability captures this strong convergence across verified data streams, with traders assigning negligible odds to deviations because no major model disagreement or rapid synoptic change has emerged in the final hours. Realistic challenges remain limited but include an unforecasted increase in low-level stratus or a brief onshore breeze shift that caps temperatures 1–2°C lower; however, such adjustments would require rapid updates from monitoring agencies to alter the outcome before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 11?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 11?
30°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$31,177 交易量
$31,177 交易量
2026-06-11
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$31,177 交易量
$31,177 交易量
2026-06-11
21°C or below
$517 交易量
No
22°C
$544 交易量
No
23°C
$407 交易量
No
24°C
$515 交易量
No
25°C
$636 交易量
No
26°C
$2,144 交易量
No
27°C
$2,880 交易量
No
28°C
$6,344 交易量
No
29°C
$4,704 交易量
No
30°C
$5,998 交易量
Yes
31°C or higher
$6,488 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 30°C high for Qingdao on June 11, 2026, reflects the latest official forecasts and observational data locking in that exact maximum.**
China Meteorological Administration guidance and international model outputs, including recent runs from sources aligned with AccuWeather and local monitoring, project a peak of 30°C under fine, stable conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover. Current surface readings show temperatures climbing steadily toward this level without breaching it, aligning with typical early-June climatology for the coastal Shandong region where diurnal heating peaks in the low-30s Celsius range absent strong marine influence or frontal systems.
The near-100% market-implied probability captures this strong convergence across verified data streams, with traders assigning negligible odds to deviations because no major model disagreement or rapid synoptic change has emerged in the final hours.
Realistic challenges remain limited but include an unforecasted increase in low-level stratus or a brief onshore breeze shift that caps temperatures 1–2°C lower; however, such adjustments would require rapid updates from monitoring agencies to alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 9, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
交易量
$31,177结束日期
2026-06-11市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 12:22 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 30°C high for Qingdao on June 11, 2026, reflects the latest official forecasts and observational data locking in that exact maximum.**
China Meteorological Administration guidance and international model outputs, including recent runs from sources aligned with AccuWeather and local monitoring, project a peak of 30°C under fine, stable conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover. Current surface readings show temperatures climbing steadily toward this level without breaching it, aligning with typical early-June climatology for the coastal Shandong region where diurnal heating peaks in the low-30s Celsius range absent strong marine influence or frontal systems.
The near-100% market-implied probability captures this strong convergence across verified data streams, with traders assigning negligible odds to deviations because no major model disagreement or rapid synoptic change has emerged in the final hours.
Realistic challenges remain limited but include an unforecasted increase in low-level stratus or a brief onshore breeze shift that caps temperatures 1–2°C lower; however, such adjustments would require rapid updates from monitoring agencies to alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$31,177结束日期
2026-06-11市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 12:22 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
**Trader consensus on a 30°C high for Qingdao on June 11, 2026, reflects the latest official forecasts and observational data locking in that exact maximum.** China Meteorological Administration guidance and international model outputs, including recent runs from sources aligned with AccuWeather and local monitoring, project a peak of 30°C under fine, stable conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover. Current surface readings show temperatures climbing steadily toward this level without breaching it, aligning with typical early-June climatology for the coastal Shandong region where diurnal heating peaks in the low-30s Celsius range absent strong marine influence or frontal systems. The near-100% market-implied probability captures this strong convergence across verified data streams, with traders assigning negligible odds to deviations because no major model disagreement or rapid synoptic change has emerged in the final hours. Realistic challenges remain limited but include an unforecasted increase in low-level stratus or a brief onshore breeze shift that caps temperatures 1–2°C lower; however, such adjustments would require rapid updates from monitoring agencies to alter the outcome before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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