Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a Seattle high temperature on July 29 near 75–77°F under building high pressure, clear skies, and light onshore flow, aligning with the market's tight clustering around the 74–79°F bins. Subtle differences in outcomes hinge on the precise strength of subsidence warming versus any residual marine layer influence or minor shifts in wind direction that could cap or enhance daytime heating. July climatology shows average highs near 76°F, providing context for the current consensus while underscoring forecast uncertainty typical of short-range temperature predictions. Traders are monitoring the next model runs and NWS updates for any adjustments ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月29日西雅图的最高温度?
76-77°F 47%
74-75°F 27%
78-79°F 18%
72-73°F 6%
65°F或更低
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
47%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
3%
84°F或更高
1%
76-77°F 47%
74-75°F 27%
78-79°F 18%
72-73°F 6%
65°F或更低
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
47%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
3%
84°F或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 27, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a Seattle high temperature on July 29 near 75–77°F under building high pressure, clear skies, and light onshore flow, aligning with the market's tight clustering around the 74–79°F bins. Subtle differences in outcomes hinge on the precise strength of subsidence warming versus any residual marine layer influence or minor shifts in wind direction that could cap or enhance daytime heating. July climatology shows average highs near 76°F, providing context for the current consensus while underscoring forecast uncertainty typical of short-range temperature predictions. Traders are monitoring the next model runs and NWS updates for any adjustments ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题