Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts project Seoul's highest temperature on April 18 at 21–28°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and subsidence warming, with midday observations at nearby Incheon already reaching 20.1°C under sunny conditions. This positioning reflects strong trader consensus on exceeding the 21°C threshold, aligned with seasonal climatology where mid-April highs average around 18°C but frequently surpass 21°C during warm anomalies, supported by radiational heating and light winds. Realistic challenges include an unexpected marine layer or frontal boundary introducing clouds and cooler advection before evening, though model consensus shows low precipitation risk (under 20%) and continued warming through late afternoon; final resolution hinges on official KMA station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seoul on April 18?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 18?
21°C or higher 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$396,976 交易量
$396,976 交易量
2026-04-18
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
Yes
21°C or higher 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$396,976 交易量
$396,976 交易量
2026-04-18
11°C or below
$16,832 交易量
No
12°C
$14,872 交易量
No
13°C
$10,566 交易量
No
14°C
$13,680 交易量
No
15°C
$12,482 交易量
No
16°C
$42,725 交易量
No
17°C
$34,710 交易量
No
18°C
$51,547 交易量
No
19°C
$46,607 交易量
No
20°C
$79,546 交易量
No
21°C or higher
$73,410 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts project Seoul's highest temperature on April 18 at 21–28°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and subsidence warming, with midday observations at nearby Incheon already reaching 20.1°C under sunny conditions. This positioning reflects strong trader consensus on exceeding the 21°C threshold, aligned with seasonal climatology where mid-April highs average around 18°C but frequently surpass 21°C during warm anomalies, supported by radiational heating and light winds. Realistic challenges include an unexpected marine layer or frontal boundary introducing clouds and cooler advection before evening, though model consensus shows low precipitation risk (under 20%) and continued warming through late afternoon; final resolution hinges on official KMA station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$396,976结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts project Seoul's highest temperature on April 18 at 21–28°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and subsidence warming, with midday observations at nearby Incheon already reaching 20.1°C under sunny conditions. This positioning reflects strong trader consensus on exceeding the 21°C threshold, aligned with seasonal climatology where mid-April highs average around 18°C but frequently surpass 21°C during warm anomalies, supported by radiational heating and light winds. Realistic challenges include an unexpected marine layer or frontal boundary introducing clouds and cooler advection before evening, though model consensus shows low precipitation risk (under 20%) and continued warming through late afternoon; final resolution hinges on official KMA station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$396,976结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts project Seoul's highest temperature on April 18 at 21–28°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and subsidence warming, with midday observations at nearby Incheon already reaching 20.1°C under sunny conditions. This positioning reflects strong trader consensus on exceeding the 21°C threshold, aligned with seasonal climatology where mid-April highs average around 18°C but frequently surpass 21°C during warm anomalies, supported by radiational heating and light winds. Realistic challenges include an unexpected marine layer or frontal boundary introducing clouds and cooler advection before evening, though model consensus shows low precipitation risk (under 20%) and continued warming through late afternoon; final resolution hinges on official KMA station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题