Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecasts project a daytime high of 21°C at nearby Incheon Airport under clear skies for April 18, fueling trader consensus at 73% implied probability for Seoul's highest temperature reaching 21°C or higher. Ensemble model runs from global weather services indicate potential urban heat island boosts pushing Seoul proper toward 24-27°C with abundant sunshine and light southerly winds, well above mid-April climatological averages of 16-18°C. Recent observations show warming trends from 16°C feels on April 17 amid a stable high-pressure ridge minimizing cloud interference. Key resolution hinges on peak afternoon readings; watch KMA hourly updates for any convective shifts that could alter outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seoul on April 18?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 18?
21°C or higher 73%
20°C 14%
19°C 4.4%
18°C 3.5%
$89,097 交易量
$89,097 交易量
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
14%
21°C or higher
73%
21°C or higher 73%
20°C 14%
19°C 4.4%
18°C 3.5%
$89,097 交易量
$89,097 交易量
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
14%
21°C or higher
73%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecasts project a daytime high of 21°C at nearby Incheon Airport under clear skies for April 18, fueling trader consensus at 73% implied probability for Seoul's highest temperature reaching 21°C or higher. Ensemble model runs from global weather services indicate potential urban heat island boosts pushing Seoul proper toward 24-27°C with abundant sunshine and light southerly winds, well above mid-April climatological averages of 16-18°C. Recent observations show warming trends from 16°C feels on April 17 amid a stable high-pressure ridge minimizing cloud interference. Key resolution hinges on peak afternoon readings; watch KMA hourly updates for any convective shifts that could alter outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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