Recent unseasonably warm conditions in Seoul, including a high of 23°C on April 16 amid a regional heatwave, have driven trader consensus toward elevated temperatures on April 19, with models like those aggregated on timeanddate.com forecasting a sunny high near 29°C—positioning 24°C or higher at 41.5% implied probability. This reflects high-pressure ridging promoting warm southerly advection and minimal cloud cover, well above mid-April climatological norms of 18–20°C highs per Korea Meteorological Administration historical data. However, short-term forecast uncertainty persists due to potential shifts in atmospheric steering patterns; traders await daily KMA updates and ensemble model runs before resolution based on official Seoul observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月19日首尔气温最高？
4月19日首尔气温最高？
24°C或更高 43%
23°C 20%
22°C 17%
21°C 12%
最新
$23,314 交易量
最新
$23,314 交易量
2026-04-19
14°C或以下
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
6%
21°C
12%
22°C
17%
23°C
20%
24°C或更高
43%
24°C或更高 43%
23°C 20%
22°C 17%
21°C 12%
最新
$23,314 交易量
最新
$23,314 交易量
2026-04-19
14°C或以下
$2,633 交易量
1%
15°C
$4,672 交易量
1%
16°C
$3,807 交易量
1%
17°C
$1,554 交易量
1%
18°C
$2,356 交易量
1%
19°C
$1,791 交易量
3%
20°C
$1,477 交易量
6%
21°C
$1,020 交易量
12%
22°C
$887 交易量
17%
23°C
$1,012 交易量
20%
24°C或更高
$2,119 交易量
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent unseasonably warm conditions in Seoul, including a high of 23°C on April 16 amid a regional heatwave, have driven trader consensus toward elevated temperatures on April 19, with models like those aggregated on timeanddate.com forecasting a sunny high near 29°C—positioning 24°C or higher at 41.5% implied probability. This reflects high-pressure ridging promoting warm southerly advection and minimal cloud cover, well above mid-April climatological norms of 18–20°C highs per Korea Meteorological Administration historical data. However, short-term forecast uncertainty persists due to potential shifts in atmospheric steering patterns; traders await daily KMA updates and ensemble model runs before resolution based on official Seoul observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$23,314结束日期
2026-04-19市场开放时间
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent unseasonably warm conditions in Seoul, including a high of 23°C on April 16 amid a regional heatwave, have driven trader consensus toward elevated temperatures on April 19, with models like those aggregated on timeanddate.com forecasting a sunny high near 29°C—positioning 24°C or higher at 41.5% implied probability. This reflects high-pressure ridging promoting warm southerly advection and minimal cloud cover, well above mid-April climatological norms of 18–20°C highs per Korea Meteorological Administration historical data. However, short-term forecast uncertainty persists due to potential shifts in atmospheric steering patterns; traders await daily KMA updates and ensemble model runs before resolution based on official Seoul observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$23,314结束日期
2026-04-19市场开放时间
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent unseasonably warm conditions in Seoul, including a high of 23°C on April 16 amid a regional heatwave, have driven trader consensus toward elevated temperatures on April 19, with models like those aggregated on timeanddate.com forecasting a sunny high near 29°C—positioning 24°C or higher at 41.5% implied probability. This reflects high-pressure ridging promoting warm southerly advection and minimal cloud cover, well above mid-April climatological norms of 18–20°C highs per Korea Meteorological Administration historical data. However, short-term forecast uncertainty persists due to potential shifts in atmospheric steering patterns; traders await daily KMA updates and ensemble model runs before resolution based on official Seoul observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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