Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 19°C high temperature in Seoul on April 30, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) midday short-range forecast projecting a daytime peak of 19°C at Incheon International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground data—amid mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and 20% afternoon precipitation odds that cap solar heating. Current observations at Seoul stations and the airport align with 19–20°C maxima, consistent with late-April climatological norms of 18–20°C following mid-month warm spells. Model ensembles show hourly peaks near but below 20°C before evening cooling. Realistic challenges include unexpected sky clearing for intensified insolation or a southerly wind shift introducing warmer air masses, though low-probability given steering patterns; final airport data expected post-midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seoul on April 30?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 30?
19°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$319,806 交易量
$319,806 交易量
2026-04-30
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$319,806 交易量
$319,806 交易量
2026-04-30
10°C or below
$19,497 交易量
No
11°C
$14,932 交易量
No
12°C
$15,008 交易量
No
13°C
$5,376 交易量
No
14°C
$12,187 交易量
No
15°C
$17,857 交易量
No
16°C
$14,175 交易量
No
17°C
$29,421 交易量
No
18°C
$28,906 交易量
No
19°C
$56,695 交易量
Yes
20°C or higher
$105,753 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 19°C high temperature in Seoul on April 30, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) midday short-range forecast projecting a daytime peak of 19°C at Incheon International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground data—amid mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and 20% afternoon precipitation odds that cap solar heating. Current observations at Seoul stations and the airport align with 19–20°C maxima, consistent with late-April climatological norms of 18–20°C following mid-month warm spells. Model ensembles show hourly peaks near but below 20°C before evening cooling. Realistic challenges include unexpected sky clearing for intensified insolation or a southerly wind shift introducing warmer air masses, though low-probability given steering patterns; final airport data expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 28, 2026, 1:17 PM ET
交易量
$319,806结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 1:17 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 19°C high temperature in Seoul on April 30, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) midday short-range forecast projecting a daytime peak of 19°C at Incheon International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground data—amid mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and 20% afternoon precipitation odds that cap solar heating. Current observations at Seoul stations and the airport align with 19–20°C maxima, consistent with late-April climatological norms of 18–20°C following mid-month warm spells. Model ensembles show hourly peaks near but below 20°C before evening cooling. Realistic challenges include unexpected sky clearing for intensified insolation or a southerly wind shift introducing warmer air masses, though low-probability given steering patterns; final airport data expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$319,806结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 1:17 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 19°C high temperature in Seoul on April 30, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) midday short-range forecast projecting a daytime peak of 19°C at Incheon International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground data—amid mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and 20% afternoon precipitation odds that cap solar heating. Current observations at Seoul stations and the airport align with 19–20°C maxima, consistent with late-April climatological norms of 18–20°C following mid-month warm spells. Model ensembles show hourly peaks near but below 20°C before evening cooling. Realistic challenges include unexpected sky clearing for intensified insolation or a southerly wind shift introducing warmer air masses, though low-probability given steering patterns; final airport data expected post-midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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