Trader consensus assigns virtually 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C in Shanghai on April 26, driven by confirmed observational data from the official Shanghai Pudong International Airport weather station, managed by the China Meteorological Administration, which recorded a midday peak of 23°C amid partly cloudy conditions and southerly winds. Recent hourly readings show temperatures declining into the evening, aligning with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs capping highs at this level, consistent with late-April climatological norms averaging 19–21°C daily maximums. Realistic challenges would require a rare late-day convective heat burst from sudden clearing skies, though current atmospheric stability and reduced solar insolation render this unlikely; final CMA daily report will confirm resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 26?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 26?
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$346,676 交易量
$346,676 交易量
2026-04-26
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$346,676 交易量
$346,676 交易量
2026-04-26
18°C or below
$8,792 交易量
No
19°C
$10,748 交易量
No
20°C
$17,193 交易量
No
21°C
$19,258 交易量
No
22°C
$41,815 交易量
No
23°C
$73,101 交易量
Yes
24°C
$32,398 交易量
No
25°C
$76,013 交易量
No
26°C
$24,443 交易量
No
27°C
$21,555 交易量
No
28°C or higher
$21,359 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns virtually 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C in Shanghai on April 26, driven by confirmed observational data from the official Shanghai Pudong International Airport weather station, managed by the China Meteorological Administration, which recorded a midday peak of 23°C amid partly cloudy conditions and southerly winds. Recent hourly readings show temperatures declining into the evening, aligning with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs capping highs at this level, consistent with late-April climatological norms averaging 19–21°C daily maximums. Realistic challenges would require a rare late-day convective heat burst from sudden clearing skies, though current atmospheric stability and reduced solar insolation render this unlikely; final CMA daily report will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$346,676结束日期
2026-04-26市场开放时间
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns virtually 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C in Shanghai on April 26, driven by confirmed observational data from the official Shanghai Pudong International Airport weather station, managed by the China Meteorological Administration, which recorded a midday peak of 23°C amid partly cloudy conditions and southerly winds. Recent hourly readings show temperatures declining into the evening, aligning with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs capping highs at this level, consistent with late-April climatological norms averaging 19–21°C daily maximums. Realistic challenges would require a rare late-day convective heat burst from sudden clearing skies, though current atmospheric stability and reduced solar insolation render this unlikely; final CMA daily report will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$346,676结束日期
2026-04-26市场开放时间
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus assigns virtually 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C in Shanghai on April 26, driven by confirmed observational data from the official Shanghai Pudong International Airport weather station, managed by the China Meteorological Administration, which recorded a midday peak of 23°C amid partly cloudy conditions and southerly winds. Recent hourly readings show temperatures declining into the evening, aligning with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs capping highs at this level, consistent with late-April climatological norms averaging 19–21°C daily maximums. Realistic challenges would require a rare late-day convective heat burst from sudden clearing skies, though current atmospheric stability and reduced solar insolation render this unlikely; final CMA daily report will confirm resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题