Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from the ECMWF and GFS, updated within the past 48 hours, show Shanghai under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers tied to the mei-yu front, keeping the June 23 daytime maximum near 24–25 °C. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes, reflecting model consensus on limited solar heating and elevated boundary-layer moisture during the East Asian summer monsoon. Historical June climatology places average highs near 27–28 °C, but the current pattern favors suppressed temperatures by 2–3 °C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from rainfall. Traders weigh the narrow spread between 24 °C and 25 °C against potential model timing differences in any convective cells and the precise strength of onshore flow, with the next high-resolution runs and China Meteorological Administration guidance expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月23日上海气温最高？
6月23日上海气温最高？
24°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$189,195 交易量
$189,195 交易量
2026-06-23
19°C或以下
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
是
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C或更高
否
24°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$189,195 交易量
$189,195 交易量
2026-06-23
19°C或以下
$371 交易量
否
20°C
$27,301 交易量
否
21°C
$3,336 交易量
否
22°C
$8,297 交易量
否
23°C
$82,055 交易量
否
24°C
$32,728 交易量
是
25°C
$15,880 交易量
否
26°C
$8,461 交易量
否
27°C
$4,764 交易量
否
28°C
$2,558 交易量
否
29°C或更高
$3,444 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from the ECMWF and GFS, updated within the past 48 hours, show Shanghai under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers tied to the mei-yu front, keeping the June 23 daytime maximum near 24–25 °C. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes, reflecting model consensus on limited solar heating and elevated boundary-layer moisture during the East Asian summer monsoon. Historical June climatology places average highs near 27–28 °C, but the current pattern favors suppressed temperatures by 2–3 °C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from rainfall. Traders weigh the narrow spread between 24 °C and 25 °C against potential model timing differences in any convective cells and the precise strength of onshore flow, with the next high-resolution runs and China Meteorological Administration guidance expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 21, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$189,195结束日期
2026-06-23市场开放时间
Jun 21, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from the ECMWF and GFS, updated within the past 48 hours, show Shanghai under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers tied to the mei-yu front, keeping the June 23 daytime maximum near 24–25 °C. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes, reflecting model consensus on limited solar heating and elevated boundary-layer moisture during the East Asian summer monsoon. Historical June climatology places average highs near 27–28 °C, but the current pattern favors suppressed temperatures by 2–3 °C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from rainfall. Traders weigh the narrow spread between 24 °C and 25 °C against potential model timing differences in any convective cells and the precise strength of onshore flow, with the next high-resolution runs and China Meteorological Administration guidance expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$189,195结束日期
2026-06-23市场开放时间
Jun 21, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from the ECMWF and GFS, updated within the past 48 hours, show Shanghai under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers tied to the mei-yu front, keeping the June 23 daytime maximum near 24–25 °C. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes, reflecting model consensus on limited solar heating and elevated boundary-layer moisture during the East Asian summer monsoon. Historical June climatology places average highs near 27–28 °C, but the current pattern favors suppressed temperatures by 2–3 °C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from rainfall. Traders weigh the narrow spread between 24 °C and 25 °C against potential model timing differences in any convective cells and the precise strength of onshore flow, with the next high-resolution runs and China Meteorological Administration guidance expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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