Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 19, with implied probabilities peaking at 27% for 29°C amid competing 22-23% odds for 30°C and 31°C. Major forecasting services like TimeAndDate project a 31°C high under partly cloudy skies with passing showers (47% chance), while AccuWeather anticipates 28-30°C amid humid, mostly cloudy conditions and 62% precipitation risk, both elevated above the April climatological average of 26°C due to subtropical ridging and urban heat island effects in this densely built coastal city. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover suppressing peaks versus early clearing allowing solar heating to 31-32°C (17% odds), with high humidity (60%+) boosting RealFeel temperatures to 32°C. Updated model ensembles from China Meteorological Administration expected by April 18 could sharpen the outlook before resolution via official Bao'an Airport observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 19?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 19?
30°C 25%
29°C 24%
31°C 22%
32°C or higher 17%
最新
最新
2026-04-19
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
7%
28°C
17%
29°C
24%
30°C
25%
31°C
22%
32°C or higher
17%
30°C 25%
29°C 24%
31°C 22%
32°C or higher 17%
最新
最新
2026-04-19
22°C or below
$533 交易量
<1%
23°C
$993 交易量
<1%
24°C
$1,046 交易量
1%
25°C
$813 交易量
<1%
26°C
$1,309 交易量
1%
27°C
$573 交易量
7%
28°C
$471 交易量
17%
29°C
$83 交易量
24%
30°C
$102 交易量
25%
31°C
$131 交易量
22%
32°C or higher
$691 交易量
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 19, with implied probabilities peaking at 27% for 29°C amid competing 22-23% odds for 30°C and 31°C. Major forecasting services like TimeAndDate project a 31°C high under partly cloudy skies with passing showers (47% chance), while AccuWeather anticipates 28-30°C amid humid, mostly cloudy conditions and 62% precipitation risk, both elevated above the April climatological average of 26°C due to subtropical ridging and urban heat island effects in this densely built coastal city. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover suppressing peaks versus early clearing allowing solar heating to 31-32°C (17% odds), with high humidity (60%+) boosting RealFeel temperatures to 32°C. Updated model ensembles from China Meteorological Administration expected by April 18 could sharpen the outlook before resolution via official Bao'an Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 17, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
交易量
$6,647结束日期
2026-04-19市场开放时间
Apr 17, 2026, 12:42 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 19, with implied probabilities peaking at 27% for 29°C amid competing 22-23% odds for 30°C and 31°C. Major forecasting services like TimeAndDate project a 31°C high under partly cloudy skies with passing showers (47% chance), while AccuWeather anticipates 28-30°C amid humid, mostly cloudy conditions and 62% precipitation risk, both elevated above the April climatological average of 26°C due to subtropical ridging and urban heat island effects in this densely built coastal city. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover suppressing peaks versus early clearing allowing solar heating to 31-32°C (17% odds), with high humidity (60%+) boosting RealFeel temperatures to 32°C. Updated model ensembles from China Meteorological Administration expected by April 18 could sharpen the outlook before resolution via official Bao'an Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$6,647结束日期
2026-04-19市场开放时间
Apr 17, 2026, 12:42 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 19, with implied probabilities peaking at 27% for 29°C amid competing 22-23% odds for 30°C and 31°C. Major forecasting services like TimeAndDate project a 31°C high under partly cloudy skies with passing showers (47% chance), while AccuWeather anticipates 28-30°C amid humid, mostly cloudy conditions and 62% precipitation risk, both elevated above the April climatological average of 26°C due to subtropical ridging and urban heat island effects in this densely built coastal city. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover suppressing peaks versus early clearing allowing solar heating to 31-32°C (17% odds), with high humidity (60%+) boosting RealFeel temperatures to 32°C. Updated model ensembles from China Meteorological Administration expected by April 18 could sharpen the outlook before resolution via official Bao'an Airport observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题