Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Shenzhen today, driven by the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and China Meteorological Administration's short-range forecasts projecting this exact peak at Bao'an International Airport amid mostly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and lingering thundershower risks from yesterday's storms that capped April 24's high at 21°C. Current observations, including afternoon readings around 25°C under high humidity and limited solar insolation, align with late-April subtropical climatology averaging 26-28°C highs influenced by warming southerly flows. Resolution awaits final Wunderground data from the airport station; unexpected clearing could elevate to 28°C via enhanced heating, while intensified showers might suppress below 27°C, though model ensembles show robust agreement on the current positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 25?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 25?
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$100,452 交易量
$100,452 交易量
2026-04-25
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$100,452 交易量
$100,452 交易量
2026-04-25
21°C or below
$3,193 交易量
No
22°C
$9,118 交易量
No
23°C
$7,152 交易量
No
24°C
$8,463 交易量
No
25°C
$11,379 交易量
No
26°C
$11,972 交易量
No
27°C
$23,870 交易量
Yes
28°C
$9,588 交易量
No
29°C
$6,788 交易量
No
30°C
$4,369 交易量
No
31°C or higher
$4,560 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Shenzhen today, driven by the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and China Meteorological Administration's short-range forecasts projecting this exact peak at Bao'an International Airport amid mostly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and lingering thundershower risks from yesterday's storms that capped April 24's high at 21°C. Current observations, including afternoon readings around 25°C under high humidity and limited solar insolation, align with late-April subtropical climatology averaging 26-28°C highs influenced by warming southerly flows. Resolution awaits final Wunderground data from the airport station; unexpected clearing could elevate to 28°C via enhanced heating, while intensified showers might suppress below 27°C, though model ensembles show robust agreement on the current positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 23, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$100,452结束日期
2026-04-25市场开放时间
Apr 23, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Shenzhen today, driven by the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and China Meteorological Administration's short-range forecasts projecting this exact peak at Bao'an International Airport amid mostly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and lingering thundershower risks from yesterday's storms that capped April 24's high at 21°C. Current observations, including afternoon readings around 25°C under high humidity and limited solar insolation, align with late-April subtropical climatology averaging 26-28°C highs influenced by warming southerly flows. Resolution awaits final Wunderground data from the airport station; unexpected clearing could elevate to 28°C via enhanced heating, while intensified showers might suppress below 27°C, though model ensembles show robust agreement on the current positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$100,452结束日期
2026-04-25市场开放时间
Apr 23, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Shenzhen today, driven by the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and China Meteorological Administration's short-range forecasts projecting this exact peak at Bao'an International Airport amid mostly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and lingering thundershower risks from yesterday's storms that capped April 24's high at 21°C. Current observations, including afternoon readings around 25°C under high humidity and limited solar insolation, align with late-April subtropical climatology averaging 26-28°C highs influenced by warming southerly flows. Resolution awaits final Wunderground data from the airport station; unexpected clearing could elevate to 28°C via enhanced heating, while intensified showers might suppress below 27°C, though model ensembles show robust agreement on the current positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题