Official observations from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the market's authoritative resolution source—confirm today's maximum temperature peaked at 29°C around midday, propelling trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on this outcome. Persistent overcast skies, showers, and thunderstorms, as warned by local meteorological authorities including the China Meteorological Administration, suppressed solar insolation and prevented further warming despite late-April climatological norms of 27–28°C highs in the subtropical region. Evening readings near 26°C further solidify this positioning. Realistic challenges, such as a rare late-afternoon heat burst or preliminary data revision upon final audit, appear improbable given the day's convective activity and declining temperatures. Watch for Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau's end-of-day summary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月28日深圳气温最高?
29°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$70,950 交易量
$70,950 交易量
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
是
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C或以上
否
29°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$70,950 交易量
$70,950 交易量
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
是
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 26, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official observations from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the market's authoritative resolution source—confirm today's maximum temperature peaked at 29°C around midday, propelling trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on this outcome. Persistent overcast skies, showers, and thunderstorms, as warned by local meteorological authorities including the China Meteorological Administration, suppressed solar insolation and prevented further warming despite late-April climatological norms of 27–28°C highs in the subtropical region. Evening readings near 26°C further solidify this positioning. Realistic challenges, such as a rare late-afternoon heat burst or preliminary data revision upon final audit, appear improbable given the day's convective activity and declining temperatures. Watch for Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau's end-of-day summary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题