Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain observational data from the China Meteorological Administration's Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station, where midday temperatures on April 30 peaked at around 27°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, comfortably surpassing the 25°C threshold. This aligns with late-April climatology in Shenzhen's subtropical climate, featuring average highs of 26°C and low day-to-day variability driven by stable high-pressure systems and warming sea surface temperatures. Short-term forecasts from official models had projected 25–27°C peaks, now validated by real-time measurements. Realistic challenges would require an unprecedented data revision or unforecast cold front, both improbable given current stability and historical patterns. Final resolution awaits the station's official daily maximum report.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 30?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 30?
25°C or higher 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$48,193 交易量
$48,193 交易量
2026-04-30
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
Yes
25°C or higher 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$48,193 交易量
$48,193 交易量
2026-04-30
15°C or below
$413 交易量
No
16°C
$532 交易量
No
17°C
$412 交易量
No
18°C
$688 交易量
No
19°C
$1,365 交易量
No
20°C
$1,067 交易量
No
21°C
$750 交易量
No
22°C
$1,858 交易量
No
23°C
$2,639 交易量
No
24°C
$3,867 交易量
No
25°C or higher
$34,601 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain observational data from the China Meteorological Administration's Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station, where midday temperatures on April 30 peaked at around 27°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, comfortably surpassing the 25°C threshold. This aligns with late-April climatology in Shenzhen's subtropical climate, featuring average highs of 26°C and low day-to-day variability driven by stable high-pressure systems and warming sea surface temperatures. Short-term forecasts from official models had projected 25–27°C peaks, now validated by real-time measurements. Realistic challenges would require an unprecedented data revision or unforecast cold front, both improbable given current stability and historical patterns. Final resolution awaits the station's official daily maximum report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 28, 2026, 3:02 PM ET
交易量
$48,193结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 3:02 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain observational data from the China Meteorological Administration's Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station, where midday temperatures on April 30 peaked at around 27°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, comfortably surpassing the 25°C threshold. This aligns with late-April climatology in Shenzhen's subtropical climate, featuring average highs of 26°C and low day-to-day variability driven by stable high-pressure systems and warming sea surface temperatures. Short-term forecasts from official models had projected 25–27°C peaks, now validated by real-time measurements. Realistic challenges would require an unprecedented data revision or unforecast cold front, both improbable given current stability and historical patterns. Final resolution awaits the station's official daily maximum report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$48,193结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 3:02 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain observational data from the China Meteorological Administration's Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station, where midday temperatures on April 30 peaked at around 27°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, comfortably surpassing the 25°C threshold. This aligns with late-April climatology in Shenzhen's subtropical climate, featuring average highs of 26°C and low day-to-day variability driven by stable high-pressure systems and warming sea surface temperatures. Short-term forecasts from official models had projected 25–27°C peaks, now validated by real-time measurements. Realistic challenges would require an unprecedented data revision or unforecast cold front, both improbable given current stability and historical patterns. Final resolution awaits the station's official daily maximum report.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题