Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and international models indicate a daily maximum of 29°C in Taipei today, with afternoon peaks limited by cloud cover, thundershowers, and typical June humidity. This consensus, backed by real-time observations and model agreement, drives the market's 100% implied probability on 29°C. Historical climatology for mid-June shows averages near 31°C, but recent atmospheric conditions including moisture and steering patterns have suppressed highs. Late-day measurements or minor urban heat effects could theoretically push readings to 30°C, though current data and resolution criteria make such shifts improbable before markets close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月13日台北气温最高?
29°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$97,103 交易量
$97,103 交易量
25°C或以下
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
是
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C或更高
否
29°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$97,103 交易量
$97,103 交易量
25°C或以下
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
是
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 11, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and international models indicate a daily maximum of 29°C in Taipei today, with afternoon peaks limited by cloud cover, thundershowers, and typical June humidity. This consensus, backed by real-time observations and model agreement, drives the market's 100% implied probability on 29°C. Historical climatology for mid-June shows averages near 31°C, but recent atmospheric conditions including moisture and steering patterns have suppressed highs. Late-day measurements or minor urban heat effects could theoretically push readings to 30°C, though current data and resolution criteria make such shifts improbable before markets close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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