Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) intraday observations at Taipei Songshan Airport Station show midday temperatures peaking near 31°C under overcast skies and high humidity, which have limited solar heating and aligned with ensemble forecast models from GFS and ECMWF projecting a daily maximum of 31°C. This meteorological consensus, reflecting typical May climatology for Taipei with average highs around 29°C amid seasonal moisture from the East Asian monsoon, drives the market's 100% implied probability on 31°C as trader sentiment. Realistic challenges would require sudden clearing for late-afternoon convective heating—unlikely given current steering patterns and descending air—but final CWA daily readings after sunset could confirm or adjust the official high.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Taipei on May 3?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 3?
31°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$72,723 交易量
$72,723 交易量
2026-05-03
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$72,723 交易量
$72,723 交易量
2026-05-03
27°C or below
$3,243 交易量
No
28°C
$5,442 交易量
No
29°C
$4,767 交易量
No
30°C
$12,723 交易量
No
31°C
$10,206 交易量
Yes
32°C
$6,275 交易量
No
33°C
$4,955 交易量
No
34°C
$7,666 交易量
No
35°C
$7,651 交易量
No
36°C
$5,618 交易量
No
37°C or higher
$4,178 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) intraday observations at Taipei Songshan Airport Station show midday temperatures peaking near 31°C under overcast skies and high humidity, which have limited solar heating and aligned with ensemble forecast models from GFS and ECMWF projecting a daily maximum of 31°C. This meteorological consensus, reflecting typical May climatology for Taipei with average highs around 29°C amid seasonal moisture from the East Asian monsoon, drives the market's 100% implied probability on 31°C as trader sentiment. Realistic challenges would require sudden clearing for late-afternoon convective heating—unlikely given current steering patterns and descending air—but final CWA daily readings after sunset could confirm or adjust the official high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
交易量
$72,723结束日期
2026-05-03市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) intraday observations at Taipei Songshan Airport Station show midday temperatures peaking near 31°C under overcast skies and high humidity, which have limited solar heating and aligned with ensemble forecast models from GFS and ECMWF projecting a daily maximum of 31°C. This meteorological consensus, reflecting typical May climatology for Taipei with average highs around 29°C amid seasonal moisture from the East Asian monsoon, drives the market's 100% implied probability on 31°C as trader sentiment. Realistic challenges would require sudden clearing for late-afternoon convective heating—unlikely given current steering patterns and descending air—but final CWA daily readings after sunset could confirm or adjust the official high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$72,723结束日期
2026-05-03市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) intraday observations at Taipei Songshan Airport Station show midday temperatures peaking near 31°C under overcast skies and high humidity, which have limited solar heating and aligned with ensemble forecast models from GFS and ECMWF projecting a daily maximum of 31°C. This meteorological consensus, reflecting typical May climatology for Taipei with average highs around 29°C amid seasonal moisture from the East Asian monsoon, drives the market's 100% implied probability on 31°C as trader sentiment. Realistic challenges would require sudden clearing for late-afternoon convective heating—unlikely given current steering patterns and descending air—but final CWA daily readings after sunset could confirm or adjust the official high.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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