Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 28°C (100% implied probability) for Taipei's highest temperature on May 6 at Songshan Airport station, backed by Central Weather Administration (CWA) forecasts projecting daytime highs of 24–27°C amid partly cloudy skies with occasional showers (30% precipitation chance). Yesterday's cool 21°C peak reflected lingering frontal clouds, but today's stable high-pressure ridge and southerly flows enable slight rebound toward seasonal May norms (average highs near 28°C), with early observations confirming temperatures climbing into the upper 20s. Realistic challenges include persistent overcast suppressing peaks to 27°C or brief clearing allowing solar heating to push 29°C; final CWA hourly data will resolve this as the day ends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Taipei on May 6?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 6?
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$82,068 交易量
$82,068 交易量
2026-05-06
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$82,068 交易量
$82,068 交易量
2026-05-06
21°C or below
$1,674 交易量
No
22°C
$1,466 交易量
No
23°C
$2,791 交易量
No
24°C
$3,749 交易量
No
25°C
$8,969 交易量
No
26°C
$6,817 交易量
No
27°C
$7,001 交易量
No
28°C
$13,911 交易量
Yes
29°C
$8,165 交易量
No
30°C
$12,640 交易量
No
31°C or higher
$14,884 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 28°C (100% implied probability) for Taipei's highest temperature on May 6 at Songshan Airport station, backed by Central Weather Administration (CWA) forecasts projecting daytime highs of 24–27°C amid partly cloudy skies with occasional showers (30% precipitation chance). Yesterday's cool 21°C peak reflected lingering frontal clouds, but today's stable high-pressure ridge and southerly flows enable slight rebound toward seasonal May norms (average highs near 28°C), with early observations confirming temperatures climbing into the upper 20s. Realistic challenges include persistent overcast suppressing peaks to 27°C or brief clearing allowing solar heating to push 29°C; final CWA hourly data will resolve this as the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 4, 2026, 12:16 PM ET
交易量
$82,068结束日期
2026-05-06市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 12:16 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 28°C (100% implied probability) for Taipei's highest temperature on May 6 at Songshan Airport station, backed by Central Weather Administration (CWA) forecasts projecting daytime highs of 24–27°C amid partly cloudy skies with occasional showers (30% precipitation chance). Yesterday's cool 21°C peak reflected lingering frontal clouds, but today's stable high-pressure ridge and southerly flows enable slight rebound toward seasonal May norms (average highs near 28°C), with early observations confirming temperatures climbing into the upper 20s. Realistic challenges include persistent overcast suppressing peaks to 27°C or brief clearing allowing solar heating to push 29°C; final CWA hourly data will resolve this as the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$82,068结束日期
2026-05-06市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 12:16 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 28°C (100% implied probability) for Taipei's highest temperature on May 6 at Songshan Airport station, backed by Central Weather Administration (CWA) forecasts projecting daytime highs of 24–27°C amid partly cloudy skies with occasional showers (30% precipitation chance). Yesterday's cool 21°C peak reflected lingering frontal clouds, but today's stable high-pressure ridge and southerly flows enable slight rebound toward seasonal May norms (average highs near 28°C), with early observations confirming temperatures climbing into the upper 20s. Realistic challenges include persistent overcast suppressing peaks to 27°C or brief clearing allowing solar heating to push 29°C; final CWA hourly data will resolve this as the day ends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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