Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 26°C high temperature at Ben Gurion International Airport on April 18, 2026, backed by NOAA observational data showing morning readings climbing to 24–25°C amid hazy sunshine and moderate southwest winds that cap further heating. This aligns with UK Met Office and global forecast models projecting a precise 26°C peak under current atmospheric conditions, including lingering dust haze and coastal influences tempering solar insolation after recent hotter days (27–30°C) driven by high-pressure dominance. Israel Meteorological Service notes cooler national trends with winds and isolated showers elsewhere, but airport-specific data dominates resolution. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting temperatures to 27°C+, though model ensembles deem this improbable given diurnal patterns and proximity to resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 18?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 18?
26°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$58,163 交易量
$58,163 交易量
2026-04-18
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$58,163 交易量
$58,163 交易量
2026-04-18
18°C or below
$1,544 交易量
No
19°C
$1,620 交易量
No
20°C
$2,776 交易量
No
21°C
$2,585 交易量
No
22°C
$2,710 交易量
No
23°C
$3,458 交易量
No
24°C
$5,678 交易量
No
25°C
$6,029 交易量
No
26°C
$16,097 交易量
Yes
27°C
$7,028 交易量
No
28°C or higher
$8,638 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 26°C high temperature at Ben Gurion International Airport on April 18, 2026, backed by NOAA observational data showing morning readings climbing to 24–25°C amid hazy sunshine and moderate southwest winds that cap further heating. This aligns with UK Met Office and global forecast models projecting a precise 26°C peak under current atmospheric conditions, including lingering dust haze and coastal influences tempering solar insolation after recent hotter days (27–30°C) driven by high-pressure dominance. Israel Meteorological Service notes cooler national trends with winds and isolated showers elsewhere, but airport-specific data dominates resolution. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting temperatures to 27°C+, though model ensembles deem this improbable given diurnal patterns and proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
交易量
$58,163结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 26°C high temperature at Ben Gurion International Airport on April 18, 2026, backed by NOAA observational data showing morning readings climbing to 24–25°C amid hazy sunshine and moderate southwest winds that cap further heating. This aligns with UK Met Office and global forecast models projecting a precise 26°C peak under current atmospheric conditions, including lingering dust haze and coastal influences tempering solar insolation after recent hotter days (27–30°C) driven by high-pressure dominance. Israel Meteorological Service notes cooler national trends with winds and isolated showers elsewhere, but airport-specific data dominates resolution. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting temperatures to 27°C+, though model ensembles deem this improbable given diurnal patterns and proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$58,163结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 26°C high temperature at Ben Gurion International Airport on April 18, 2026, backed by NOAA observational data showing morning readings climbing to 24–25°C amid hazy sunshine and moderate southwest winds that cap further heating. This aligns with UK Met Office and global forecast models projecting a precise 26°C peak under current atmospheric conditions, including lingering dust haze and coastal influences tempering solar insolation after recent hotter days (27–30°C) driven by high-pressure dominance. Israel Meteorological Service notes cooler national trends with winds and isolated showers elsewhere, but airport-specific data dominates resolution. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting temperatures to 27°C+, though model ensembles deem this improbable given diurnal patterns and proximity to resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题