Current forecast models from the UK Met Office and complementary sources project a daily maximum of 31–32°C in coastal Tel Aviv on July 13, driven by typical eastern Mediterranean summer conditions featuring light westerly flow, sea-breeze moderation, and minimal cloud cover. This range aligns with July climatology, where average highs reach 29–31°C and extremes above 34°C remain uncommon without strong subsidence or northerly wind shifts. Recent model runs show little day-to-day volatility, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward the 31°C (49.5%) and 32°C (20.5%) outcomes while assigning low probability to outliers. Updated guidance expected within 48 hours will refine timing of any minor warming or cooling signals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月13日特拉维夫的最高温度?
31°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$22,924 交易量
$22,924 交易量
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$22,924 交易量
$22,924 交易量
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Current forecast models from the UK Met Office and complementary sources project a daily maximum of 31–32°C in coastal Tel Aviv on July 13, driven by typical eastern Mediterranean summer conditions featuring light westerly flow, sea-breeze moderation, and minimal cloud cover. This range aligns with July climatology, where average highs reach 29–31°C and extremes above 34°C remain uncommon without strong subsidence or northerly wind shifts. Recent model runs show little day-to-day volatility, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward the 31°C (49.5%) and 32°C (20.5%) outcomes while assigning low probability to outliers. Updated guidance expected within 48 hours will refine timing of any minor warming or cooling signals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题