**Recent official forecasts from sources like the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather place Tel Aviv’s July 18 high near 30–33°C amid typical midsummer conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly winds, and moderate humidity.** This range aligns with historical July averages of 30–32°C while allowing for modest daily variability driven by sea-breeze timing and exact peak-hour insolation. Trader consensus has concentrated implied probability on 34°C (56.5%) and 33°C (30.5%), reflecting model runs that favor the upper half of the expected envelope without signaling an anomalous heat episode. With resolution only two days away, any late adjustment in numerical guidance or observed afternoon maxima will determine whether the peak settles at or above 34°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月18日特拉维夫的最高温度?
35°C 100.0%
30°C或以下 <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$40,778 交易量
$40,778 交易量
30°C或以下
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
是
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C
否
39°C
否
40°C或以上
否
35°C 100.0%
30°C或以下 <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$40,778 交易量
$40,778 交易量
30°C或以下
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
是
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C
否
39°C
否
40°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 16, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
**Recent official forecasts from sources like the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather place Tel Aviv’s July 18 high near 30–33°C amid typical midsummer conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly winds, and moderate humidity.** This range aligns with historical July averages of 30–32°C while allowing for modest daily variability driven by sea-breeze timing and exact peak-hour insolation. Trader consensus has concentrated implied probability on 34°C (56.5%) and 33°C (30.5%), reflecting model runs that favor the upper half of the expected envelope without signaling an anomalous heat episode. With resolution only two days away, any late adjustment in numerical guidance or observed afternoon maxima will determine whether the peak settles at or above 34°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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