Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and ensemble models have converged on a daytime maximum of 25°C in Tel Aviv on May 25 under sunny skies and light northwesterly flow. This consensus, reinforced by coastal sea-surface temperatures near 22°C and moderating sea-breeze effects, has driven the market-implied odds to 100% on the 25°C outcome. Late-May climatology in the eastern Mediterranean typically sees highs of 26–28°C, placing today slightly below the seasonal norm due to stable atmospheric conditions. Minor model spread centers on boundary-layer details, but strong agreement across runs leaves little room for deviation. Official observations at resolution time remain the sole determinant, with any late wind shift or enhanced solar heating the primary scenarios that could realistically alter the final reading.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 25?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$47,680 交易量
$47,680 交易量
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$47,680 交易量
$47,680 交易量
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 23, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and ensemble models have converged on a daytime maximum of 25°C in Tel Aviv on May 25 under sunny skies and light northwesterly flow. This consensus, reinforced by coastal sea-surface temperatures near 22°C and moderating sea-breeze effects, has driven the market-implied odds to 100% on the 25°C outcome. Late-May climatology in the eastern Mediterranean typically sees highs of 26–28°C, placing today slightly below the seasonal norm due to stable atmospheric conditions. Minor model spread centers on boundary-layer details, but strong agreement across runs leaves little room for deviation. Official observations at resolution time remain the sole determinant, with any late wind shift or enhanced solar heating the primary scenarios that could realistically alter the final reading.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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