Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency align with the seasonal June average high of 26°C for Tokyo, reflecting typical early-summer conditions under the influence of the East Asian monsoon and modest warming trends. Recent agency outlooks note above-average temperatures nationwide through the month but place mid-June maxima in the narrow 25–28°C range absent major synoptic shifts. This consensus underpins the market’s near-certain 26°C outcome, as real-time model runs and observational baselines show little deviation expected today. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or unforecast convective cooling could still lower the daily maximum, though such changes remain low-probability given the stable steering pattern.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 14?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$87,881 交易量
$87,881 交易量
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$87,881 交易量
$87,881 交易量
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency align with the seasonal June average high of 26°C for Tokyo, reflecting typical early-summer conditions under the influence of the East Asian monsoon and modest warming trends. Recent agency outlooks note above-average temperatures nationwide through the month but place mid-June maxima in the narrow 25–28°C range absent major synoptic shifts. This consensus underpins the market’s near-certain 26°C outcome, as real-time model runs and observational baselines show little deviation expected today. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or unforecast convective cooling could still lower the daily maximum, though such changes remain low-probability given the stable steering pattern.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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