Official hourly observations from Environment Canada at Toronto Pearson International Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 6, 2026, peaked at 8°C around midday under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers, aligning with trader consensus assigning 100% implied probability to "9°C or below." This outcome reflects a cool upper-air trough over southern Ontario, fostering northerly winds and reduced solar insolation that capped daytime heating well below the mid-May climatological average of 18°C. Model ensembles from NOAA and ECMWF had forecasted subdued highs of 10–12°C pre-event, with actual data validating the lowest outcome. While daily records are preliminary until final quality control, revisions rarely exceed 1°C for maximum temperatures, rendering challenges improbable absent equipment malfunction.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Toronto on May 6?
Highest temperature in Toronto on May 6?
9°C or below 100.0%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$78,992 交易量
$78,992 交易量
2026-05-06
9°C or below
Yes
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
9°C or below 100.0%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$78,992 交易量
$78,992 交易量
2026-05-06
9°C or below
$19,352 交易量
Yes
10°C
$7,730 交易量
No
11°C
$11,622 交易量
No
12°C
$6,537 交易量
No
13°C
$8,365 交易量
No
14°C
$5,748 交易量
No
15°C
$4,863 交易量
No
16°C
$5,769 交易量
No
17°C
$2,691 交易量
No
18°C
$1,901 交易量
No
19°C or higher
$4,413 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official hourly observations from Environment Canada at Toronto Pearson International Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 6, 2026, peaked at 8°C around midday under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers, aligning with trader consensus assigning 100% implied probability to "9°C or below." This outcome reflects a cool upper-air trough over southern Ontario, fostering northerly winds and reduced solar insolation that capped daytime heating well below the mid-May climatological average of 18°C. Model ensembles from NOAA and ECMWF had forecasted subdued highs of 10–12°C pre-event, with actual data validating the lowest outcome. While daily records are preliminary until final quality control, revisions rarely exceed 1°C for maximum temperatures, rendering challenges improbable absent equipment malfunction.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 4, 2026, 12:23 PM ET
交易量
$78,992结束日期
2026-05-06市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 12:23 PM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official hourly observations from Environment Canada at Toronto Pearson International Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 6, 2026, peaked at 8°C around midday under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers, aligning with trader consensus assigning 100% implied probability to "9°C or below." This outcome reflects a cool upper-air trough over southern Ontario, fostering northerly winds and reduced solar insolation that capped daytime heating well below the mid-May climatological average of 18°C. Model ensembles from NOAA and ECMWF had forecasted subdued highs of 10–12°C pre-event, with actual data validating the lowest outcome. While daily records are preliminary until final quality control, revisions rarely exceed 1°C for maximum temperatures, rendering challenges improbable absent equipment malfunction.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$78,992结束日期
2026-05-06市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 12:23 PM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
Official hourly observations from Environment Canada at Toronto Pearson International Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 6, 2026, peaked at 8°C around midday under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers, aligning with trader consensus assigning 100% implied probability to "9°C or below." This outcome reflects a cool upper-air trough over southern Ontario, fostering northerly winds and reduced solar insolation that capped daytime heating well below the mid-May climatological average of 18°C. Model ensembles from NOAA and ECMWF had forecasted subdued highs of 10–12°C pre-event, with actual data validating the lowest outcome. While daily records are preliminary until final quality control, revisions rarely exceed 1°C for maximum temperatures, rendering challenges improbable absent equipment malfunction.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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