Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 18 around 16-18°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning trader sentiment with 17°C leading at 46.5% implied probability, followed by 18°C at 27.5%. This reflects modest spring warming from an upper-level ridge over Central Europe, with current April 17 observations near 12-14°C at Chopin Airport station amid variable cloud cover. Model spread of 2°C captures uncertainty in afternoon insolation and boundary layer mixing, while climatological April late norms (~14°C) provide baseline context. IMGW updates and new 12z model runs today could refine probabilities ahead of tomorrow's resolution based on official maximum readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 18?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 18?
17°C 49%
18°C 27%
16°C 14%
19°C 6%
最新
$10,922 交易量
最新
$10,922 交易量
2026-04-18
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
14%
17°C
49%
18°C
27%
19°C
6%
20°C or higher
2%
17°C 49%
18°C 27%
16°C 14%
19°C 6%
最新
$10,922 交易量
最新
$10,922 交易量
2026-04-18
10°C or below
$1,983 交易量
<1%
11°C
$1,548 交易量
<1%
12°C
$1,114 交易量
<1%
13°C
$1,050 交易量
<1%
14°C
$1,358 交易量
1%
15°C
$567 交易量
3%
16°C
$341 交易量
14%
17°C
$411 交易量
49%
18°C
$449 交易量
27%
19°C
$1,173 交易量
6%
20°C or higher
$1,157 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 18 around 16-18°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning trader sentiment with 17°C leading at 46.5% implied probability, followed by 18°C at 27.5%. This reflects modest spring warming from an upper-level ridge over Central Europe, with current April 17 observations near 12-14°C at Chopin Airport station amid variable cloud cover. Model spread of 2°C captures uncertainty in afternoon insolation and boundary layer mixing, while climatological April late norms (~14°C) provide baseline context. IMGW updates and new 12z model runs today could refine probabilities ahead of tomorrow's resolution based on official maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$10,922结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 18 around 16-18°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning trader sentiment with 17°C leading at 46.5% implied probability, followed by 18°C at 27.5%. This reflects modest spring warming from an upper-level ridge over Central Europe, with current April 17 observations near 12-14°C at Chopin Airport station amid variable cloud cover. Model spread of 2°C captures uncertainty in afternoon insolation and boundary layer mixing, while climatological April late norms (~14°C) provide baseline context. IMGW updates and new 12z model runs today could refine probabilities ahead of tomorrow's resolution based on official maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$10,922结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETLatest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 18 around 16-18°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning trader sentiment with 17°C leading at 46.5% implied probability, followed by 18°C at 27.5%. This reflects modest spring warming from an upper-level ridge over Central Europe, with current April 17 observations near 12-14°C at Chopin Airport station amid variable cloud cover. Model spread of 2°C captures uncertainty in afternoon insolation and boundary layer mixing, while climatological April late norms (~14°C) provide baseline context. IMGW updates and new 12z model runs today could refine probabilities ahead of tomorrow's resolution based on official maximum readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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