Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 11°C as the highest temperature in Warsaw on April 26 at nearly 100% implied probability, reflecting tight alignment across official IMGW forecasts, ECMWF high-resolution runs, and GFS model ensembles showing a daytime maximum of 11–12°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport station under partly cloudy skies and gusty northerly winds advecting cool continental air. Current early-morning observations from IMGW synoptic stations already register around 11°C with wind chill, supporting limited diurnal warming amid below-average April conditions (historical highs average 13°C). Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine boosting solar heating to 12°C or increased cloud cover suppressing it below 11°C; final resolution awaits official 24-hour max from the airport station, with intraday updates from automated sensors potentially shifting sentiment before close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于华沙4月26日最高气温？
华沙4月26日最高气温？
11°C 100.0%
4°C或以下 <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$68,525 交易量
$68,525 交易量
2026-04-26
4°C或以下
否
5°C
否
6°C
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
是
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C或更高
否
11°C 100.0%
4°C或以下 <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$68,525 交易量
$68,525 交易量
2026-04-26
4°C或以下
$736 交易量
否
5°C
$2,141 交易量
否
6°C
$1,181 交易量
否
7°C
$1,318 交易量
否
8°C
$7,138 交易量
否
9°C
$10,991 交易量
否
10°C
$10,495 交易量
否
11°C
$13,202 交易量
是
12°C
$10,376 交易量
否
13°C
$6,035 交易量
否
14°C或更高
$4,912 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 11°C as the highest temperature in Warsaw on April 26 at nearly 100% implied probability, reflecting tight alignment across official IMGW forecasts, ECMWF high-resolution runs, and GFS model ensembles showing a daytime maximum of 11–12°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport station under partly cloudy skies and gusty northerly winds advecting cool continental air. Current early-morning observations from IMGW synoptic stations already register around 11°C with wind chill, supporting limited diurnal warming amid below-average April conditions (historical highs average 13°C). Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine boosting solar heating to 12°C or increased cloud cover suppressing it below 11°C; final resolution awaits official 24-hour max from the airport station, with intraday updates from automated sensors potentially shifting sentiment before close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$68,525结束日期
2026-04-26市场开放时间
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 11°C as the highest temperature in Warsaw on April 26 at nearly 100% implied probability, reflecting tight alignment across official IMGW forecasts, ECMWF high-resolution runs, and GFS model ensembles showing a daytime maximum of 11–12°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport station under partly cloudy skies and gusty northerly winds advecting cool continental air. Current early-morning observations from IMGW synoptic stations already register around 11°C with wind chill, supporting limited diurnal warming amid below-average April conditions (historical highs average 13°C). Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine boosting solar heating to 12°C or increased cloud cover suppressing it below 11°C; final resolution awaits official 24-hour max from the airport station, with intraday updates from automated sensors potentially shifting sentiment before close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$68,525结束日期
2026-04-26市场开放时间
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 11°C as the highest temperature in Warsaw on April 26 at nearly 100% implied probability, reflecting tight alignment across official IMGW forecasts, ECMWF high-resolution runs, and GFS model ensembles showing a daytime maximum of 11–12°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport station under partly cloudy skies and gusty northerly winds advecting cool continental air. Current early-morning observations from IMGW synoptic stations already register around 11°C with wind chill, supporting limited diurnal warming amid below-average April conditions (historical highs average 13°C). Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine boosting solar heating to 12°C or increased cloud cover suppressing it below 11°C; final resolution awaits official 24-hour max from the airport station, with intraday updates from automated sensors potentially shifting sentiment before close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题