Recent short-term forecasts from agencies including the BBC and AccuWeather point to a July 4 high near 21–22 °C in Warsaw, driven by a post-heatwave cooling trend as a frontal boundary and thundery showers reduce solar heating and enhance mixing of cooler air aloft. Ensemble models show modest uncertainty in exact maximum temperature owing to variable cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can alter surface energy balance by several degrees. Historical July averages near 24–25 °C provide context, yet the current synoptic pattern favors values clustered around the market’s leading outcomes of 21 °C and 22 °C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and official guidance that will be updated through July 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月4日华沙最高气温？
7月4日华沙最高气温？
20°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$92,314 交易量
$92,314 交易量
2026-07-04
19°C或以下
否
20°C
是
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C或更高
否
20°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$92,314 交易量
$92,314 交易量
2026-07-04
19°C或以下
$13,347 交易量
否
20°C
$15,301 交易量
是
21°C
$21,807 交易量
否
22°C
$9,886 交易量
否
23°C
$8,464 交易量
否
24°C
$6,231 交易量
否
25°C
$4,430 交易量
否
26°C
$2,734 交易量
否
27°C
$3,775 交易量
否
28°C
$3,974 交易量
否
29°C或更高
$2,365 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from agencies including the BBC and AccuWeather point to a July 4 high near 21–22 °C in Warsaw, driven by a post-heatwave cooling trend as a frontal boundary and thundery showers reduce solar heating and enhance mixing of cooler air aloft. Ensemble models show modest uncertainty in exact maximum temperature owing to variable cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can alter surface energy balance by several degrees. Historical July averages near 24–25 °C provide context, yet the current synoptic pattern favors values clustered around the market’s leading outcomes of 21 °C and 22 °C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and official guidance that will be updated through July 3.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$92,314结束日期
2026-07-04市场开放时间
Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from agencies including the BBC and AccuWeather point to a July 4 high near 21–22 °C in Warsaw, driven by a post-heatwave cooling trend as a frontal boundary and thundery showers reduce solar heating and enhance mixing of cooler air aloft. Ensemble models show modest uncertainty in exact maximum temperature owing to variable cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can alter surface energy balance by several degrees. Historical July averages near 24–25 °C provide context, yet the current synoptic pattern favors values clustered around the market’s leading outcomes of 21 °C and 22 °C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and official guidance that will be updated through July 3.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$92,314结束日期
2026-07-04市场开放时间
Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent short-term forecasts from agencies including the BBC and AccuWeather point to a July 4 high near 21–22 °C in Warsaw, driven by a post-heatwave cooling trend as a frontal boundary and thundery showers reduce solar heating and enhance mixing of cooler air aloft. Ensemble models show modest uncertainty in exact maximum temperature owing to variable cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can alter surface energy balance by several degrees. Historical July averages near 24–25 °C provide context, yet the current synoptic pattern favors values clustered around the market’s leading outcomes of 21 °C and 22 °C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and official guidance that will be updated through July 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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