Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high-pressure system over central Europe will bring mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions to Warsaw on June 23, supporting daytime maxima near 26–28°C based on 850 hPa temperatures and surface heating rates. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds, where 26°C and 27°C lead at 39.5% and 26.5%. June climatology for the region shows average highs around 22–24°C, so the elevated values stem from recent warm advection and limited cloud cover reducing diurnal cooling. Short-term model runs exhibit low spread for peak readings, though minor shifts in wind or timing of any afternoon convection could adjust the exact maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 23?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 23?
27°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$41,455 交易量
$41,455 交易量
2026-06-23
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
是
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或更高
否
27°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$41,455 交易量
$41,455 交易量
2026-06-23
21°C或以下
$212 交易量
否
22°C
$1,007 交易量
否
23°C
$2,512 交易量
否
24°C
$3,472 交易量
否
25°C
$8,401 交易量
否
26°C
$9,538 交易量
否
27°C
$5,711 交易量
是
28°C
$4,277 交易量
否
29°C
$2,757 交易量
否
30°C
$2,050 交易量
否
31°C或更高
$1,520 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high-pressure system over central Europe will bring mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions to Warsaw on June 23, supporting daytime maxima near 26–28°C based on 850 hPa temperatures and surface heating rates. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds, where 26°C and 27°C lead at 39.5% and 26.5%. June climatology for the region shows average highs around 22–24°C, so the elevated values stem from recent warm advection and limited cloud cover reducing diurnal cooling. Short-term model runs exhibit low spread for peak readings, though minor shifts in wind or timing of any afternoon convection could adjust the exact maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 21, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
交易量
$41,455结束日期
2026-06-23市场开放时间
Jun 21, 2026, 12:10 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high-pressure system over central Europe will bring mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions to Warsaw on June 23, supporting daytime maxima near 26–28°C based on 850 hPa temperatures and surface heating rates. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds, where 26°C and 27°C lead at 39.5% and 26.5%. June climatology for the region shows average highs around 22–24°C, so the elevated values stem from recent warm advection and limited cloud cover reducing diurnal cooling. Short-term model runs exhibit low spread for peak readings, though minor shifts in wind or timing of any afternoon convection could adjust the exact maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$41,455结束日期
2026-06-23市场开放时间
Jun 21, 2026, 12:10 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high-pressure system over central Europe will bring mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions to Warsaw on June 23, supporting daytime maxima near 26–28°C based on 850 hPa temperatures and surface heating rates. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds, where 26°C and 27°C lead at 39.5% and 26.5%. June climatology for the region shows average highs around 22–24°C, so the elevated values stem from recent warm advection and limited cloud cover reducing diurnal cooling. Short-term model runs exhibit low spread for peak readings, though minor shifts in wind or timing of any afternoon convection could adjust the exact maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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