Recent forecasts from major models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a high-pressure ridge over central Europe will advect warmer southerly air into Poland, with surface highs for Warsaw on June 25 expected near 29–31°C under mostly sunny conditions and light northwesterly winds. Ensemble spreads remain modest, reflecting typical uncertainty in boundary-layer heating and cloud cover two days out, which keeps 30°C the narrow market leader at 24% implied probability. Historical June climatology shows average daily maxima around 23–25°C, so current guidance represents a modest positive anomaly driven by the evolving synoptic pattern rather than extreme heat. Traders will watch the next 12–24 hours of model updates for any shift in thermal advection or afternoon convection that could alter peak readings before official IMGW verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 25?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 25?
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$41,830 交易量
$41,830 交易量
2026-06-25
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$41,830 交易量
$41,830 交易量
2026-06-25
25°C or below
$1,517 交易量
No
26°C
$934 交易量
No
27°C
$2,437 交易量
No
28°C
$3,839 交易量
No
29°C
$8,559 交易量
No
30°C
$5,743 交易量
No
31°C
$4,544 交易量
Yes
32°C
$4,358 交易量
No
33°C
$2,832 交易量
No
34°C
$2,410 交易量
No
35°C or higher
$4,657 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a high-pressure ridge over central Europe will advect warmer southerly air into Poland, with surface highs for Warsaw on June 25 expected near 29–31°C under mostly sunny conditions and light northwesterly winds. Ensemble spreads remain modest, reflecting typical uncertainty in boundary-layer heating and cloud cover two days out, which keeps 30°C the narrow market leader at 24% implied probability. Historical June climatology shows average daily maxima around 23–25°C, so current guidance represents a modest positive anomaly driven by the evolving synoptic pattern rather than extreme heat. Traders will watch the next 12–24 hours of model updates for any shift in thermal advection or afternoon convection that could alter peak readings before official IMGW verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 23, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
交易量
$41,830结束日期
2026-06-25市场开放时间
Jun 23, 2026, 1:05 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a high-pressure ridge over central Europe will advect warmer southerly air into Poland, with surface highs for Warsaw on June 25 expected near 29–31°C under mostly sunny conditions and light northwesterly winds. Ensemble spreads remain modest, reflecting typical uncertainty in boundary-layer heating and cloud cover two days out, which keeps 30°C the narrow market leader at 24% implied probability. Historical June climatology shows average daily maxima around 23–25°C, so current guidance represents a modest positive anomaly driven by the evolving synoptic pattern rather than extreme heat. Traders will watch the next 12–24 hours of model updates for any shift in thermal advection or afternoon convection that could alter peak readings before official IMGW verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$41,830结束日期
2026-06-25市场开放时间
Jun 23, 2026, 1:05 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Recent forecasts from major models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a high-pressure ridge over central Europe will advect warmer southerly air into Poland, with surface highs for Warsaw on June 25 expected near 29–31°C under mostly sunny conditions and light northwesterly winds. Ensemble spreads remain modest, reflecting typical uncertainty in boundary-layer heating and cloud cover two days out, which keeps 30°C the narrow market leader at 24% implied probability. Historical June climatology shows average daily maxima around 23–25°C, so current guidance represents a modest positive anomaly driven by the evolving synoptic pattern rather than extreme heat. Traders will watch the next 12–24 hours of model updates for any shift in thermal advection or afternoon convection that could alter peak readings before official IMGW verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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