Official forecasts from New Zealand’s MetService and NIWA project a daily maximum near 20°C in Wellington on June 1, driven by mild northwesterly flow that has limited typical winter radiational cooling and kept temperatures above the seasonal average of around 12–14°C. This synoptic pattern has produced consistent model consensus supporting the 20°C threshold at the Wellington International Airport station, the resolution source, resulting in near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome. A late-day cold front passage or minor downward revision in the official station reading could still alter the recorded high, though current observations show limited risk of such shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wellington on June 1?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 1?
20°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$74,331 交易量
$74,331 交易量
2026-06-01
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$74,331 交易量
$74,331 交易量
2026-06-01
12°C or below
$577 交易量
No
13°C
$408 交易量
No
14°C
$644 交易量
No
15°C
$3,470 交易量
No
16°C
$6,473 交易量
No
17°C
$9,734 交易量
No
18°C
$5,326 交易量
No
19°C
$15,120 交易量
No
20°C
$11,027 交易量
Yes
21°C
$10,292 交易量
No
22°C or higher
$11,259 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from New Zealand’s MetService and NIWA project a daily maximum near 20°C in Wellington on June 1, driven by mild northwesterly flow that has limited typical winter radiational cooling and kept temperatures above the seasonal average of around 12–14°C. This synoptic pattern has produced consistent model consensus supporting the 20°C threshold at the Wellington International Airport station, the resolution source, resulting in near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome. A late-day cold front passage or minor downward revision in the official station reading could still alter the recorded high, though current observations show limited risk of such shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： May 30, 2026, 12:49 AM ET
交易量
$74,331结束日期
2026-06-01市场开放时间
May 30, 2026, 12:49 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from New Zealand’s MetService and NIWA project a daily maximum near 20°C in Wellington on June 1, driven by mild northwesterly flow that has limited typical winter radiational cooling and kept temperatures above the seasonal average of around 12–14°C. This synoptic pattern has produced consistent model consensus supporting the 20°C threshold at the Wellington International Airport station, the resolution source, resulting in near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome. A late-day cold front passage or minor downward revision in the official station reading could still alter the recorded high, though current observations show limited risk of such shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$74,331结束日期
2026-06-01市场开放时间
May 30, 2026, 12:49 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official forecasts from New Zealand’s MetService and NIWA project a daily maximum near 20°C in Wellington on June 1, driven by mild northwesterly flow that has limited typical winter radiational cooling and kept temperatures above the seasonal average of around 12–14°C. This synoptic pattern has produced consistent model consensus supporting the 20°C threshold at the Wellington International Airport station, the resolution source, resulting in near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome. A late-day cold front passage or minor downward revision in the official station reading could still alter the recorded high, though current observations show limited risk of such shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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