Trader consensus has converged on a maximum temperature of exactly 16°C for Wellington on June 17 because the latest MetService forecasts and supporting numerical weather prediction models indicate this precise peak under southerly flow and limited daytime heating typical of mid-winter conditions. Near-average seasonal temperatures for the region, combined with observed trends showing no significant warming anomalies in recent model runs, reinforce this outcome ahead of official verification. While the strong alignment leaves little room for deviation, a last-minute forecast revision from MetService or localized variations around the Kelburn observation site could still shift the recorded high before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月17日惠灵顿的最高温度?
16°C 100.0%
9°C或以下 <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$70,695 交易量
$70,695 交易量
9°C或以下
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
是
17°C
否
18°C
No
19°C或更高
否
16°C 100.0%
9°C或以下 <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$70,695 交易量
$70,695 交易量
9°C或以下
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
是
17°C
否
18°C
No
19°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus has converged on a maximum temperature of exactly 16°C for Wellington on June 17 because the latest MetService forecasts and supporting numerical weather prediction models indicate this precise peak under southerly flow and limited daytime heating typical of mid-winter conditions. Near-average seasonal temperatures for the region, combined with observed trends showing no significant warming anomalies in recent model runs, reinforce this outcome ahead of official verification. While the strong alignment leaves little room for deviation, a last-minute forecast revision from MetService or localized variations around the Kelburn observation site could still shift the recorded high before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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