Recent forecasts from MetService and other agencies highlight a strengthening southerly flow and persistent rain over Wellington on June 26, 2026, favoring daily maxima near 10–12 °C amid cloud cover and onshore winds that limit daytime warming. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average June temperatures for the region, consistent with typical winter conditions where southerly airstreams advect cooler maritime air while frontal systems and orographic lift enhance precipitation. Model consensus points to modest variability around these values, with the precise maximum hinging on the timing and intensity of the southerly change and any breaks in cloud that could allow brief radiative heating. Trader sentiment clusters on 11–12 °C because these align closely with ensemble guidance, while higher or lower outcomes remain less likely absent significant forecast shifts in the final model runs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月26日惠灵顿的最高温度？
6月26日惠灵顿的最高温度？
11°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$173,811 交易量
$173,811 交易量
2026-06-26
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
Yes
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
11°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$173,811 交易量
$173,811 交易量
2026-06-26
5°C or below
$31,253 交易量
No
6°C
$10,696 交易量
No
7°C
$2,737 交易量
No
8°C
$13,339 交易量
No
9°C
$9,320 交易量
No
10°C
$50,732 交易量
No
11°C
$22,108 交易量
Yes
12°C
$11,562 交易量
No
13°C
$7,765 交易量
No
14°C
$7,310 交易量
No
15°C or higher
$6,988 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and other agencies highlight a strengthening southerly flow and persistent rain over Wellington on June 26, 2026, favoring daily maxima near 10–12 °C amid cloud cover and onshore winds that limit daytime warming. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average June temperatures for the region, consistent with typical winter conditions where southerly airstreams advect cooler maritime air while frontal systems and orographic lift enhance precipitation. Model consensus points to modest variability around these values, with the precise maximum hinging on the timing and intensity of the southerly change and any breaks in cloud that could allow brief radiative heating. Trader sentiment clusters on 11–12 °C because these align closely with ensemble guidance, while higher or lower outcomes remain less likely absent significant forecast shifts in the final model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$173,811结束日期
2026-06-26市场开放时间
Jun 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and other agencies highlight a strengthening southerly flow and persistent rain over Wellington on June 26, 2026, favoring daily maxima near 10–12 °C amid cloud cover and onshore winds that limit daytime warming. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average June temperatures for the region, consistent with typical winter conditions where southerly airstreams advect cooler maritime air while frontal systems and orographic lift enhance precipitation. Model consensus points to modest variability around these values, with the precise maximum hinging on the timing and intensity of the southerly change and any breaks in cloud that could allow brief radiative heating. Trader sentiment clusters on 11–12 °C because these align closely with ensemble guidance, while higher or lower outcomes remain less likely absent significant forecast shifts in the final model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$173,811结束日期
2026-06-26市场开放时间
Jun 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Recent forecasts from MetService and other agencies highlight a strengthening southerly flow and persistent rain over Wellington on June 26, 2026, favoring daily maxima near 10–12 °C amid cloud cover and onshore winds that limit daytime warming. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average June temperatures for the region, consistent with typical winter conditions where southerly airstreams advect cooler maritime air while frontal systems and orographic lift enhance precipitation. Model consensus points to modest variability around these values, with the precise maximum hinging on the timing and intensity of the southerly change and any breaks in cloud that could allow brief radiative heating. Trader sentiment clusters on 11–12 °C because these align closely with ensemble guidance, while higher or lower outcomes remain less likely absent significant forecast shifts in the final model runs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题