Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a 19°C high temperature at Wellington International Airport on May 10, 2026, driven by real-time MetService observations showing peak readings of 19°C during midday under partly cloudy skies and lingering effects of strong northerlies that advected warmer air southward. MetService's latest afternoon forecast confirms this positioning with an 18–19°C range for the Wellington region, aligning with model consensus from short-range numerical weather prediction outputs that factored in post-shower clearing and reduced cloud cover. This exceeds May climatological averages of 15°C due to the frontal passage's warm sector. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-afternoon heat burst pushing to 20°C before evening southerlies and showers dominate, though official hourly data through 4 p.m. already locks in the maximum. Final airport readings expected by midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wellington on May 10?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 10?
19°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$209,322 交易量
$209,322 交易量
2026-05-10
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$209,322 交易量
$209,322 交易量
2026-05-10
10°C or below
$4,622 交易量
No
11°C
$2,397 交易量
No
12°C
$6,464 交易量
No
13°C
$3,781 交易量
No
14°C
$5,601 交易量
No
15°C
$6,435 交易量
No
16°C
$22,117 交易量
No
17°C
$26,277 交易量
No
18°C
$81,840 交易量
No
19°C
$20,680 交易量
Yes
20°C or higher
$29,107 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a 19°C high temperature at Wellington International Airport on May 10, 2026, driven by real-time MetService observations showing peak readings of 19°C during midday under partly cloudy skies and lingering effects of strong northerlies that advected warmer air southward. MetService's latest afternoon forecast confirms this positioning with an 18–19°C range for the Wellington region, aligning with model consensus from short-range numerical weather prediction outputs that factored in post-shower clearing and reduced cloud cover. This exceeds May climatological averages of 15°C due to the frontal passage's warm sector. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-afternoon heat burst pushing to 20°C before evening southerlies and showers dominate, though official hourly data through 4 p.m. already locks in the maximum. Final airport readings expected by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$209,322结束日期
2026-05-10市场开放时间
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a 19°C high temperature at Wellington International Airport on May 10, 2026, driven by real-time MetService observations showing peak readings of 19°C during midday under partly cloudy skies and lingering effects of strong northerlies that advected warmer air southward. MetService's latest afternoon forecast confirms this positioning with an 18–19°C range for the Wellington region, aligning with model consensus from short-range numerical weather prediction outputs that factored in post-shower clearing and reduced cloud cover. This exceeds May climatological averages of 15°C due to the frontal passage's warm sector. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-afternoon heat burst pushing to 20°C before evening southerlies and showers dominate, though official hourly data through 4 p.m. already locks in the maximum. Final airport readings expected by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$209,322结束日期
2026-05-10市场开放时间
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a 19°C high temperature at Wellington International Airport on May 10, 2026, driven by real-time MetService observations showing peak readings of 19°C during midday under partly cloudy skies and lingering effects of strong northerlies that advected warmer air southward. MetService's latest afternoon forecast confirms this positioning with an 18–19°C range for the Wellington region, aligning with model consensus from short-range numerical weather prediction outputs that factored in post-shower clearing and reduced cloud cover. This exceeds May climatological averages of 15°C due to the frontal passage's warm sector. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-afternoon heat burst pushing to 20°C before evening southerlies and showers dominate, though official hourly data through 4 p.m. already locks in the maximum. Final airport readings expected by midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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