Observed maximum temperatures at Wellington's Kelburn and International Airport stations reached 16°C during early afternoon on May 4, 2026, under partly sunny skies and northerly winds of 20-22 km/h, aligning precisely with MetService's latest forecast of a 16°C high amid a drifting high-pressure system. Hourly data from official monitors show peaks of 61°F (16.1°C) between 11:00 a.m. and 3:00 p.m., followed by cooling to 57°F (14°C) by evening, reflecting limited solar heating due to partial cloud cover and sea breeze influences typical for the Cook Strait region. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 16°C reflects this locked-in observational evidence, with negligible risk of revision barring erroneous data corrections—uncommon in automated MetService reporting. Final NIWA validation expected soon, but current positioning is robust.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wellington on May 4?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 4?
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$77,854 交易量
$77,854 交易量
2026-05-04
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$77,854 交易量
$77,854 交易量
2026-05-04
10°C or below
$2,816 交易量
No
11°C
$266 交易量
No
12°C
$1,603 交易量
No
13°C
$5,742 交易量
No
14°C
$11,502 交易量
No
15°C
$14,567 交易量
No
16°C
$15,086 交易量
Yes
17°C
$8,495 交易量
No
18°C
$8,295 交易量
No
19°C
$5,807 交易量
No
20°C or higher
$3,675 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Observed maximum temperatures at Wellington's Kelburn and International Airport stations reached 16°C during early afternoon on May 4, 2026, under partly sunny skies and northerly winds of 20-22 km/h, aligning precisely with MetService's latest forecast of a 16°C high amid a drifting high-pressure system. Hourly data from official monitors show peaks of 61°F (16.1°C) between 11:00 a.m. and 3:00 p.m., followed by cooling to 57°F (14°C) by evening, reflecting limited solar heating due to partial cloud cover and sea breeze influences typical for the Cook Strait region. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 16°C reflects this locked-in observational evidence, with negligible risk of revision barring erroneous data corrections—uncommon in automated MetService reporting. Final NIWA validation expected soon, but current positioning is robust.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
交易量
$77,854结束日期
2026-05-04市场开放时间
May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Observed maximum temperatures at Wellington's Kelburn and International Airport stations reached 16°C during early afternoon on May 4, 2026, under partly sunny skies and northerly winds of 20-22 km/h, aligning precisely with MetService's latest forecast of a 16°C high amid a drifting high-pressure system. Hourly data from official monitors show peaks of 61°F (16.1°C) between 11:00 a.m. and 3:00 p.m., followed by cooling to 57°F (14°C) by evening, reflecting limited solar heating due to partial cloud cover and sea breeze influences typical for the Cook Strait region. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 16°C reflects this locked-in observational evidence, with negligible risk of revision barring erroneous data corrections—uncommon in automated MetService reporting. Final NIWA validation expected soon, but current positioning is robust.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$77,854结束日期
2026-05-04市场开放时间
May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Observed maximum temperatures at Wellington's Kelburn and International Airport stations reached 16°C during early afternoon on May 4, 2026, under partly sunny skies and northerly winds of 20-22 km/h, aligning precisely with MetService's latest forecast of a 16°C high amid a drifting high-pressure system. Hourly data from official monitors show peaks of 61°F (16.1°C) between 11:00 a.m. and 3:00 p.m., followed by cooling to 57°F (14°C) by evening, reflecting limited solar heating due to partial cloud cover and sea breeze influences typical for the Cook Strait region. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 16°C reflects this locked-in observational evidence, with negligible risk of revision barring erroneous data corrections—uncommon in automated MetService reporting. Final NIWA validation expected soon, but current positioning is robust.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题