Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns virtually 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport today, driven by the latest observational data and forecast model consensus from sources like AccuWeather, showing current readings around 20-21°C under persistent overcast skies and periods of rain. Full cloud cover (100%) and northeast winds at 8-23 mph have suppressed solar heating, capping the daily peak near historical April 20 averages of 23°C per climatological records. METAR reports confirm no exceedance of 23°C so far, with cooling expected overnight. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing during late-afternoon peak heating (2-4 PM local), enabling brief radiative warming to 24°C+, though model ensembles deem this improbable amid ongoing precipitation forecasts. Final airport observations will resolve the market by midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 20?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 20?
23°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$138,883 交易量
$138,883 交易量
2026-04-20
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$138,883 交易量
$138,883 交易量
2026-04-20
14°C or below
$1,213 交易量
No
15°C
$1,418 交易量
No
16°C
$3,685 交易量
No
17°C
$1,336 交易量
No
18°C
$1,950 交易量
No
19°C
$5,828 交易量
No
20°C
$13,117 交易量
No
21°C
$13,677 交易量
No
22°C
$16,158 交易量
No
23°C
$52,108 交易量
Yes
24°C or higher
$28,393 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns virtually 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport today, driven by the latest observational data and forecast model consensus from sources like AccuWeather, showing current readings around 20-21°C under persistent overcast skies and periods of rain. Full cloud cover (100%) and northeast winds at 8-23 mph have suppressed solar heating, capping the daily peak near historical April 20 averages of 23°C per climatological records. METAR reports confirm no exceedance of 23°C so far, with cooling expected overnight. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing during late-afternoon peak heating (2-4 PM local), enabling brief radiative warming to 24°C+, though model ensembles deem this improbable amid ongoing precipitation forecasts. Final airport observations will resolve the market by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 18, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
交易量
$138,883结束日期
2026-04-20市场开放时间
Apr 18, 2026, 12:10 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns virtually 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport today, driven by the latest observational data and forecast model consensus from sources like AccuWeather, showing current readings around 20-21°C under persistent overcast skies and periods of rain. Full cloud cover (100%) and northeast winds at 8-23 mph have suppressed solar heating, capping the daily peak near historical April 20 averages of 23°C per climatological records. METAR reports confirm no exceedance of 23°C so far, with cooling expected overnight. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing during late-afternoon peak heating (2-4 PM local), enabling brief radiative warming to 24°C+, though model ensembles deem this improbable amid ongoing precipitation forecasts. Final airport observations will resolve the market by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$138,883结束日期
2026-04-20市场开放时间
Apr 18, 2026, 12:10 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns virtually 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport today, driven by the latest observational data and forecast model consensus from sources like AccuWeather, showing current readings around 20-21°C under persistent overcast skies and periods of rain. Full cloud cover (100%) and northeast winds at 8-23 mph have suppressed solar heating, capping the daily peak near historical April 20 averages of 23°C per climatological records. METAR reports confirm no exceedance of 23°C so far, with cooling expected overnight. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing during late-afternoon peak heating (2-4 PM local), enabling brief radiative warming to 24°C+, though model ensembles deem this improbable amid ongoing precipitation forecasts. Final airport observations will resolve the market by midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题