Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 22°C in Wuhan on April 24, driven by official observations from the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport meteorological station, where intraday readings peaked at 22°C under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) updates and METAR reports confirm this, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering around 21-22°C amid lingering cool air from recent frontal passages. Late-April climatology typically sees highs near 23°C, but current conditions—sunset by early evening and minimal solar heating—lock in this outcome. A realistic challenge would require an unlikely late-day clearing and heat burst exceeding 23°C before midnight local time, with final resolution pending CMA's daily airport record.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 24?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 24?
22°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$58,410 交易量
$58,410 交易量
2026-04-24
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$58,410 交易量
$58,410 交易量
2026-04-24
19°C or below
$5,053 交易量
No
20°C
$4,587 交易量
No
21°C
$9,264 交易量
No
22°C
$11,206 交易量
Yes
23°C
$8,565 交易量
No
24°C
$8,037 交易量
No
25°C
$2,445 交易量
No
26°C
$3,220 交易量
No
27°C
$2,775 交易量
No
28°C
$1,878 交易量
No
29°C or higher
$1,381 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 22°C in Wuhan on April 24, driven by official observations from the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport meteorological station, where intraday readings peaked at 22°C under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) updates and METAR reports confirm this, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering around 21-22°C amid lingering cool air from recent frontal passages. Late-April climatology typically sees highs near 23°C, but current conditions—sunset by early evening and minimal solar heating—lock in this outcome. A realistic challenge would require an unlikely late-day clearing and heat burst exceeding 23°C before midnight local time, with final resolution pending CMA's daily airport record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 22, 2026, 12:49 AM ET
交易量
$58,410结束日期
2026-04-24市场开放时间
Apr 22, 2026, 12:49 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 22°C in Wuhan on April 24, driven by official observations from the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport meteorological station, where intraday readings peaked at 22°C under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) updates and METAR reports confirm this, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering around 21-22°C amid lingering cool air from recent frontal passages. Late-April climatology typically sees highs near 23°C, but current conditions—sunset by early evening and minimal solar heating—lock in this outcome. A realistic challenge would require an unlikely late-day clearing and heat burst exceeding 23°C before midnight local time, with final resolution pending CMA's daily airport record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$58,410结束日期
2026-04-24市场开放时间
Apr 22, 2026, 12:49 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 22°C in Wuhan on April 24, driven by official observations from the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport meteorological station, where intraday readings peaked at 22°C under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) updates and METAR reports confirm this, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering around 21-22°C amid lingering cool air from recent frontal passages. Late-April climatology typically sees highs near 23°C, but current conditions—sunset by early evening and minimal solar heating—lock in this outcome. A realistic challenge would require an unlikely late-day clearing and heat burst exceeding 23°C before midnight local time, with final resolution pending CMA's daily airport record.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题