Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 23°C on April 30, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast update pinpointing this precise peak under fine, sunny conditions with light southerly winds around 3 km/h. Observational data from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, the market's resolution source, aligns closely, showing daytime readings approaching 23°C amid stable atmospheric profiles and minimal cloud cover, as confirmed by regional bulletins like the Hong Kong Observatory's report listing a 23°C high. Global numerical weather prediction models exhibit strong agreement on subdued convective activity and boundary layer constraints preventing exceedance. While inherent forecast uncertainty persists, realistic challenges—such as unexpected prolonged solar insolation or minor warm air advection—appear negligible given the late-day timing and narrow confidence intervals, with final airport measurements expected soon to resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 30?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 30?
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$54,098 交易量
$54,098 交易量
2026-04-30
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$54,098 交易量
$54,098 交易量
2026-04-30
18°C or below
$3,484 交易量
No
19°C
$4,211 交易量
No
20°C
$3,538 交易量
No
21°C
$3,980 交易量
No
22°C
$8,026 交易量
No
23°C
$5,411 交易量
Yes
24°C
$5,352 交易量
No
25°C
$6,326 交易量
No
26°C
$5,524 交易量
No
27°C
$3,233 交易量
No
28°C or higher
$5,011 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 23°C on April 30, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast update pinpointing this precise peak under fine, sunny conditions with light southerly winds around 3 km/h. Observational data from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, the market's resolution source, aligns closely, showing daytime readings approaching 23°C amid stable atmospheric profiles and minimal cloud cover, as confirmed by regional bulletins like the Hong Kong Observatory's report listing a 23°C high. Global numerical weather prediction models exhibit strong agreement on subdued convective activity and boundary layer constraints preventing exceedance. While inherent forecast uncertainty persists, realistic challenges—such as unexpected prolonged solar insolation or minor warm air advection—appear negligible given the late-day timing and narrow confidence intervals, with final airport measurements expected soon to resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 28, 2026, 2:59 PM ET
交易量
$54,098结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 2:59 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 23°C on April 30, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast update pinpointing this precise peak under fine, sunny conditions with light southerly winds around 3 km/h. Observational data from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, the market's resolution source, aligns closely, showing daytime readings approaching 23°C amid stable atmospheric profiles and minimal cloud cover, as confirmed by regional bulletins like the Hong Kong Observatory's report listing a 23°C high. Global numerical weather prediction models exhibit strong agreement on subdued convective activity and boundary layer constraints preventing exceedance. While inherent forecast uncertainty persists, realistic challenges—such as unexpected prolonged solar insolation or minor warm air advection—appear negligible given the late-day timing and narrow confidence intervals, with final airport measurements expected soon to resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$54,098结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 2:59 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 23°C on April 30, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast update pinpointing this precise peak under fine, sunny conditions with light southerly winds around 3 km/h. Observational data from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, the market's resolution source, aligns closely, showing daytime readings approaching 23°C amid stable atmospheric profiles and minimal cloud cover, as confirmed by regional bulletins like the Hong Kong Observatory's report listing a 23°C high. Global numerical weather prediction models exhibit strong agreement on subdued convective activity and boundary layer constraints preventing exceedance. While inherent forecast uncertainty persists, realistic challenges—such as unexpected prolonged solar insolation or minor warm air advection—appear negligible given the late-day timing and narrow confidence intervals, with final airport measurements expected soon to resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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