The market-implied consensus at 32°C stems directly from official meteorological forecasts issued on June 1, including the China Weather report projecting a daytime maximum of exactly 32°C under cloudy conditions with minimums near 21°C. This aligns with early June climatology in Wuhan, where seasonal warming typically produces average highs around 31°C amid subtropical high pressure and light westerly winds that limit convective enhancement. International models, including those from the UK Met Office, converge on the same threshold without significant spread. Only rapid afternoon clearing or unforecasted thunderstorm development could push readings higher, while persistent cloud cover or earlier rain would cap the peak below the expected mark.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月1日武汉最高气温?
32°C 100.0%
28°C或以下 <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$51,628 交易量
$51,628 交易量
28°C或以下
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
是
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C或更高
否
32°C 100.0%
28°C或以下 <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$51,628 交易量
$51,628 交易量
28°C或以下
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
是
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: May 30, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The market-implied consensus at 32°C stems directly from official meteorological forecasts issued on June 1, including the China Weather report projecting a daytime maximum of exactly 32°C under cloudy conditions with minimums near 21°C. This aligns with early June climatology in Wuhan, where seasonal warming typically produces average highs around 31°C amid subtropical high pressure and light westerly winds that limit convective enhancement. International models, including those from the UK Met Office, converge on the same threshold without significant spread. Only rapid afternoon clearing or unforecasted thunderstorm development could push readings higher, while persistent cloud cover or earlier rain would cap the peak below the expected mark.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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