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icon for 霍巴特市长选举获胜者

霍巴特市长选举获胜者

icon for 霍巴特市长选举获胜者

霍巴特市长选举获胜者

Marti Zucco 43%

Ryan Posselt 42%

迈克·达塔 42%

比尔·哈维 41%

Polymarket
最新

Marti Zucco 43%

Ryan Posselt 42%

迈克·达塔 42%

比尔·哈维 41%

Polymarket
最新
icon for Marti Zucco

Marti Zucco

$0 交易量

43%

icon for Ryan Posselt

Ryan Posselt

$0 交易量

42%

icon for 迈克·达塔

迈克·达塔

$0 交易量

42%

icon for 比尔·哈维

比尔·哈维

$0 交易量

41%

icon for Louise Bloomfield

Louise Bloomfield

$0 交易量

41%

icon for 哈维·伦农

哈维·伦农

$0 交易量

39%

icon for 约翰·凯利

约翰·凯利

$0 交易量

22%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open Hobart Lord Mayor contest, following Anna Reynolds' decision not to seek re-election, features a crowded field of sitting councillors and independents including Marti Zucco, Ryan Posselt, Mike Dutta, Bill Harvey, Louise Bloomfield, and John Kelly. Trader odds remain tightly clustered because nominations have not yet opened and no candidate has established a clear advantage under preferential voting. Recent council divisions over issues such as amalgamation proposals, code-of-conduct matters, rates policy, and internal leadership transitions have underscored the fragmented nature of local support. Further candidate declarations, early polling, or endorsements ahead of the October postal ballot could begin to shift probabilities as preferences consolidate.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-10-28
市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open Hobart Lord Mayor contest, following Anna Reynolds' decision not to seek re-election, features a crowded field of sitting councillors and independents including Marti Zucco, Ryan Posselt, Mike Dutta, Bill Harvey, Louise Bloomfield, and John Kelly. Trader odds remain tightly clustered because nominations have not yet opened and no candidate has established a clear advantage under preferential voting. Recent council divisions over issues such as amalgamation proposals, code-of-conduct matters, rates policy, and internal leadership transitions have underscored the fragmented nature of local support. Further candidate declarations, early polling, or endorsements ahead of the October postal ballot could begin to shift probabilities as preferences consolidate.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-10-28
市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"霍巴特市长选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Marti Zucco",概率为 43%,其次是"Ryan Posselt",概率为 42%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 43¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 43%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"霍巴特市长选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Sep 3, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"霍巴特市长选举获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"霍巴特市长选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"Marti Zucco",概率为 43%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 43%。紧随其后的结果是"Ryan Posselt",概率为 42%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"霍巴特市长选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。