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黎巴嫩议会选举获胜者

Market icon

黎巴嫩议会选举获胜者

黎巴嫩力量党(LF) 11%

马拉达运动 5.2%

受欢迎的纳赛尔主义者组织(PNO) 5.1%

伊斯兰集团(IG) 5.1%

Polymarket

$345,841 交易量

黎巴嫩力量党(LF) 11%

马拉达运动 5.2%

受欢迎的纳赛尔主义者组织(PNO) 5.1%

伊斯兰集团(IG) 5.1%

Polymarket

$345,841 交易量

黎巴嫩力量党(LF)

$102,362 交易量

11%

马拉达运动

$1,613 交易量

5%

受欢迎的纳赛尔主义者组织(PNO)

$1,706 交易量

5%

伊斯兰集团(IG)

$0 交易量

5%

国家自由党(NLP)

$0 交易量

5%

尊严运动(DM)

$0 交易量

5%

独立运动

$0 交易量

5%

伊斯兰慈善项目协会(ICPA)

$1,538 交易量

5%

玛达党(Mada)

$20,986 交易量

4%

Khatt Ahmar

$2,246 交易量

4%

联盟党(UP)

$1,711 交易量

4%

ReLebanon

$0 交易量

4%

瓦塔尼联盟(Watani)

$0 交易量

3%

阿迈勒运动(阿迈勒)

$25,080 交易量

3%

塔卡杜姆党

$3,210 交易量

2%

卡塔伊布党(Kataeb)

$0 交易量

2%

全国对话党(NDP)

$39,368 交易量

2%

亚美尼亚革命联盟(ARF)

$3,494 交易量

1%

进步社会党(PSP)

$24,424 交易量

1%

拉娜 – 社会民主党(拉娜)

$3,219 交易量

1%

自由爱国运动(FPM)

$71,456 交易量

1%

真主党(Hezb)

$40,576 交易量

1%

黎巴嫩阿拉伯社会主义复兴党(复兴党)

$2,851 交易量

1%

Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Lebanon in May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Lebanese Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities (interior.gov.lb).

Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
交易量
$345,841
结束日期
May 31, 2026
市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 4:50 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Lebanon in May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Lebanese Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities (interior.gov.lb). Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"黎巴嫩议会选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 23 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"黎巴嫩力量党(LF)",概率为 11%,其次是"马拉达运动",概率为 5%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 11¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 11%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"黎巴嫩议会选举获胜者"已产生 $345.8K 的总交易量(自Jan 6, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"黎巴嫩议会选举获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 23 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"黎巴嫩议会选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"黎巴嫩力量党(LF)",概率为 11%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 11%。紧随其后的结果是"马拉达运动",概率为 5%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"黎巴嫩议会选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。