National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the lowest temperature on May 6, 2026, reached 76°F around 5 AM EDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 76-77°F under clear skies, light winds, and dew points near 71°F that restricted radiative cooling in a humid southerly air mass. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecasts anticipating mid-to-upper 70s lows amid South Florida's urban heat island effect and above-normal May warmth, where historical daily minimums average 73°F but recent patterns favor persistence. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions in the forthcoming CLI report or auxiliary station discrepancies, though KMIA measurements provide authoritative ground truth for market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月6日迈阿密最低气温？
5月6日迈阿密最低气温？
76-77°F 100.0%
69°F或以下 <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$75,298 交易量
$75,298 交易量
2026-05-06
69°F或以下
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
是
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88°F或更高
否
76-77°F 100.0%
69°F或以下 <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$75,298 交易量
$75,298 交易量
2026-05-06
69°F或以下
$1,752 交易量
否
70-71°F
$2,861 交易量
否
72-73°F
$2,365 交易量
否
74-75°F
$2,933 交易量
否
76-77°F
$8,248 交易量
是
78-79°F
$1,121 交易量
否
80-81°F
$1,726 交易量
否
82-83°F
$6,840 交易量
否
84-85°F
$16,093 交易量
否
86-87°F
$16,939 交易量
否
88°F或更高
$14,420 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the lowest temperature on May 6, 2026, reached 76°F around 5 AM EDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 76-77°F under clear skies, light winds, and dew points near 71°F that restricted radiative cooling in a humid southerly air mass. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecasts anticipating mid-to-upper 70s lows amid South Florida's urban heat island effect and above-normal May warmth, where historical daily minimums average 73°F but recent patterns favor persistence. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions in the forthcoming CLI report or auxiliary station discrepancies, though KMIA measurements provide authoritative ground truth for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$75,298结束日期
2026-05-06市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the lowest temperature on May 6, 2026, reached 76°F around 5 AM EDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 76-77°F under clear skies, light winds, and dew points near 71°F that restricted radiative cooling in a humid southerly air mass. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecasts anticipating mid-to-upper 70s lows amid South Florida's urban heat island effect and above-normal May warmth, where historical daily minimums average 73°F but recent patterns favor persistence. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions in the forthcoming CLI report or auxiliary station discrepancies, though KMIA measurements provide authoritative ground truth for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$75,298结束日期
2026-05-06市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the lowest temperature on May 6, 2026, reached 76°F around 5 AM EDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 76-77°F under clear skies, light winds, and dew points near 71°F that restricted radiative cooling in a humid southerly air mass. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecasts anticipating mid-to-upper 70s lows amid South Florida's urban heat island effect and above-normal May warmth, where historical daily minimums average 73°F but recent patterns favor persistence. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions in the forthcoming CLI report or auxiliary station discrepancies, though KMIA measurements provide authoritative ground truth for market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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