Official National Weather Service observations from the New York City Central Park station (KNYC) recorded a low temperature of 42°F on April 26, 2026—the coldest reading of the day amid clear skies and light winds that promoted radiational cooling overnight—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 42-43°F outcome. This matched pre-event NOAA forecast model guidance anticipating lows in the low 40s under a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Northeast, cooler than the late-April climatological normal of around 49°F but within historical variability for the season. Scenarios that could challenge this include rare equipment malfunctions prompting data revisions, though current preliminary climate summaries show strong validation; watch for the final monthly report from NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于纽约市4月26日的最低温度?
42-43华氏度 100.0%
35°F或更低 <1%
36-37°F <1%
38-39°F <1%
$49,066 交易量
$49,066 交易量
35°F或更低
否
36-37°F
否
38-39°F
否
40-41°F
否
42-43华氏度
是
44-45°F
否
46-47°F
否
48-49°F
否
50-51°F
否
52-53°F
否
54°F或更高
否
42-43华氏度 100.0%
35°F或更低 <1%
36-37°F <1%
38-39°F <1%
$49,066 交易量
$49,066 交易量
35°F或更低
否
36-37°F
否
38-39°F
否
40-41°F
否
42-43华氏度
是
44-45°F
否
46-47°F
否
48-49°F
否
50-51°F
否
52-53°F
否
54°F或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official National Weather Service observations from the New York City Central Park station (KNYC) recorded a low temperature of 42°F on April 26, 2026—the coldest reading of the day amid clear skies and light winds that promoted radiational cooling overnight—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 42-43°F outcome. This matched pre-event NOAA forecast model guidance anticipating lows in the low 40s under a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Northeast, cooler than the late-April climatological normal of around 49°F but within historical variability for the season. Scenarios that could challenge this include rare equipment malfunctions prompting data revisions, though current preliminary climate summaries show strong validation; watch for the final monthly report from NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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