Official National Weather Service observations from the primary New York City station recorded a daily minimum of 66–67°F on June 15, 2026, anchoring the market at 100% probability for that bin. This outcome aligns with the observed nocturnal cooling under clear skies and light winds typical of mid-June high-pressure ridging, where radiative heat loss produced lows near the seasonal average of 62–68°F at LaGuardia. Model guidance from the prior 48 hours showed tight consensus around this range with minimal spread, confirming the result before final verification. Only a rare station calibration error or unreported microclimate anomaly at the official site could alter resolution, both of which fall well outside historical precedent for this market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月15日纽约市最低气温?
66-67°F 100.0%
55°F或以下 <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$29,328 交易量
$29,328 交易量
55°F或以下
否
56-57°F
否
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
是
68-69华氏度
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74°F或更高
否
66-67°F 100.0%
55°F或以下 <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$29,328 交易量
$29,328 交易量
55°F或以下
否
56-57°F
否
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
是
68-69华氏度
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74°F或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official National Weather Service observations from the primary New York City station recorded a daily minimum of 66–67°F on June 15, 2026, anchoring the market at 100% probability for that bin. This outcome aligns with the observed nocturnal cooling under clear skies and light winds typical of mid-June high-pressure ridging, where radiative heat loss produced lows near the seasonal average of 62–68°F at LaGuardia. Model guidance from the prior 48 hours showed tight consensus around this range with minimal spread, confirming the result before final verification. Only a rare station calibration error or unreported microclimate anomaly at the official site could alter resolution, both of which fall well outside historical precedent for this market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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