Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park placed the minimum temperature in New York City squarely in the 62-63°F range on May 28, 2026, driving the market-implied odds to near-certainty on that bin. This outcome aligns with late-May climatological averages for the region under a moderating high-pressure system that produced clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, limiting overnight radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance from NOAA models had clustered tightly around similar values in the days preceding the event. Realistic challenges to this resolution remain minimal given the standardized instrumentation and quality-controlled data releases, though rare post-analysis adjustments for station siting or sensor calibration could theoretically arise before final archive confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Lowest temperature in NYC on May 28?
Lowest temperature in NYC on May 28?
62-63°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$20,366 交易量
$20,366 交易量
2026-05-28
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
Yes
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
62-63°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$20,366 交易量
$20,366 交易量
2026-05-28
53°F or below
$4,900 交易量
No
54-55°F
$698 交易量
No
56-57°F
$663 交易量
No
58-59°F
$2,023 交易量
No
60-61°F
$2,064 交易量
No
62-63°F
$1,372 交易量
Yes
64-65°F
$2,461 交易量
No
66-67°F
$1,194 交易量
No
68-69°F
$1,407 交易量
No
70-71°F
$651 交易量
No
72°F or higher
$2,932 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park placed the minimum temperature in New York City squarely in the 62-63°F range on May 28, 2026, driving the market-implied odds to near-certainty on that bin. This outcome aligns with late-May climatological averages for the region under a moderating high-pressure system that produced clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, limiting overnight radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance from NOAA models had clustered tightly around similar values in the days preceding the event. Realistic challenges to this resolution remain minimal given the standardized instrumentation and quality-controlled data releases, though rare post-analysis adjustments for station siting or sensor calibration could theoretically arise before final archive confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 24, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
交易量
$20,366结束日期
2026-05-28市场开放时间
May 24, 2026, 12:41 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park placed the minimum temperature in New York City squarely in the 62-63°F range on May 28, 2026, driving the market-implied odds to near-certainty on that bin. This outcome aligns with late-May climatological averages for the region under a moderating high-pressure system that produced clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, limiting overnight radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance from NOAA models had clustered tightly around similar values in the days preceding the event. Realistic challenges to this resolution remain minimal given the standardized instrumentation and quality-controlled data releases, though rare post-analysis adjustments for station siting or sensor calibration could theoretically arise before final archive confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$20,366结束日期
2026-05-28市场开放时间
May 24, 2026, 12:41 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park placed the minimum temperature in New York City squarely in the 62-63°F range on May 28, 2026, driving the market-implied odds to near-certainty on that bin. This outcome aligns with late-May climatological averages for the region under a moderating high-pressure system that produced clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, limiting overnight radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance from NOAA models had clustered tightly around similar values in the days preceding the event. Realistic challenges to this resolution remain minimal given the standardized instrumentation and quality-controlled data releases, though rare post-analysis adjustments for station siting or sensor calibration could theoretically arise before final archive confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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