Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies like Meteored project an overnight low near 18–19°C for Paris on June 16, 2026, amid a warming trend with daytime highs approaching 29°C. This aligns with typical early-summer conditions where clear skies and moderate winds allow efficient nocturnal radiative cooling without dropping further, producing market-implied odds exceeding 98% for the 19°C bin. Official temperature records from central Paris stations will determine resolution based on the daily minimum. Unseasonal cloud cover, increased humidity, or a late frontal passage could lower readings toward 18°C or below, though current model consensus shows limited divergence on these variables.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月16日巴黎最低气温?
19°C 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$29,487 交易量
$29,487 交易量
16°C或以下
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
是
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C或更高
否
19°C 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$29,487 交易量
$29,487 交易量
16°C或以下
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
是
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies like Meteored project an overnight low near 18–19°C for Paris on June 16, 2026, amid a warming trend with daytime highs approaching 29°C. This aligns with typical early-summer conditions where clear skies and moderate winds allow efficient nocturnal radiative cooling without dropping further, producing market-implied odds exceeding 98% for the 19°C bin. Official temperature records from central Paris stations will determine resolution based on the daily minimum. Unseasonal cloud cover, increased humidity, or a late frontal passage could lower readings toward 18°C or below, though current model consensus shows limited divergence on these variables.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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