Recent forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models indicate a transient Atlantic trough will suppress typical early-June insolation over Paris on June 5, producing cloudy skies, scattered showers, and a daily minimum near 12°C. This aligns with observed overnight lows of 11–12°C in updated guidance, well below the June climatological average of 14°C. Trader consensus at 12°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow resolution window for the day's official minimum reading. Minor shifts remain possible if post-frontal clearing occurs earlier than projected or if localized urban heat effects raise the recorded low by 1°C, though current atmospheric steering patterns make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Lowest temperature in Paris on June 5?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 5?
12°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$17,312 交易量
$17,312 交易量
2026-06-05
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$17,312 交易量
$17,312 交易量
2026-06-05
7°C or below
$861 交易量
No
8°C
$1,307 交易量
No
9°C
$532 交易量
No
10°C
$795 交易量
No
11°C
$635 交易量
No
12°C
$5,231 交易量
Yes
13°C
$1,066 交易量
No
14°C
$1,507 交易量
No
15°C
$538 交易量
No
16°C
$483 交易量
No
17°C or higher
$4,356 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models indicate a transient Atlantic trough will suppress typical early-June insolation over Paris on June 5, producing cloudy skies, scattered showers, and a daily minimum near 12°C. This aligns with observed overnight lows of 11–12°C in updated guidance, well below the June climatological average of 14°C. Trader consensus at 12°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow resolution window for the day's official minimum reading. Minor shifts remain possible if post-frontal clearing occurs earlier than projected or if localized urban heat effects raise the recorded low by 1°C, though current atmospheric steering patterns make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 3, 2026, 12:52 AM ET
交易量
$17,312结束日期
2026-06-05市场开放时间
Jun 3, 2026, 12:52 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models indicate a transient Atlantic trough will suppress typical early-June insolation over Paris on June 5, producing cloudy skies, scattered showers, and a daily minimum near 12°C. This aligns with observed overnight lows of 11–12°C in updated guidance, well below the June climatological average of 14°C. Trader consensus at 12°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow resolution window for the day's official minimum reading. Minor shifts remain possible if post-frontal clearing occurs earlier than projected or if localized urban heat effects raise the recorded low by 1°C, though current atmospheric steering patterns make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$17,312结束日期
2026-06-05市场开放时间
Jun 3, 2026, 12:52 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Recent forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models indicate a transient Atlantic trough will suppress typical early-June insolation over Paris on June 5, producing cloudy skies, scattered showers, and a daily minimum near 12°C. This aligns with observed overnight lows of 11–12°C in updated guidance, well below the June climatological average of 14°C. Trader consensus at 12°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow resolution window for the day's official minimum reading. Minor shifts remain possible if post-frontal clearing occurs earlier than projected or if localized urban heat effects raise the recorded low by 1°C, though current atmospheric steering patterns make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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