Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Incheon International Airport station—the official resolution source—confirm Seoul's lowest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 10°C during pre-dawn hours around 3-6 AM under clear skies promoting radiative cooling, but moderated by urban heat island effects and light winds. KMA short-range forecasts accurately projected regional morning lows of 10-11°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge, aligning with early May climatology where Seoul minima average 12-15°C but recent continental air flows have trended cooler. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this locked-in data, with daytime highs nearing 20°C eliminating further drops. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision or overlooked microsite measurement below 10°C, though highly improbable given current monitoring. Final KMA daily summary expected later today.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月9日首尔最低气温？
5月9日首尔最低气温？
10°C 100.0%
8°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
11°C <1%
$39,623 交易量
$39,623 交易量
2026-05-09
8°C或以下
否
9°C
否
10°C
是
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C或更高
否
10°C 100.0%
8°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
11°C <1%
$39,623 交易量
$39,623 交易量
2026-05-09
8°C或以下
$8,860 交易量
否
9°C
$4,914 交易量
否
10°C
$6,836 交易量
是
11°C
$3,107 交易量
否
12°C
$6,111 交易量
否
13°C
$1,120 交易量
否
14°C
$1,291 交易量
否
15°C
$2,336 交易量
否
16°C
$1,521 交易量
否
17°C
$1,553 交易量
否
18°C或更高
$1,975 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Incheon International Airport station—the official resolution source—confirm Seoul's lowest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 10°C during pre-dawn hours around 3-6 AM under clear skies promoting radiative cooling, but moderated by urban heat island effects and light winds. KMA short-range forecasts accurately projected regional morning lows of 10-11°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge, aligning with early May climatology where Seoul minima average 12-15°C but recent continental air flows have trended cooler. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this locked-in data, with daytime highs nearing 20°C eliminating further drops. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision or overlooked microsite measurement below 10°C, though highly improbable given current monitoring. Final KMA daily summary expected later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 7, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
交易量
$39,623结束日期
2026-05-09市场开放时间
May 7, 2026, 12:01 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Incheon International Airport station—the official resolution source—confirm Seoul's lowest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 10°C during pre-dawn hours around 3-6 AM under clear skies promoting radiative cooling, but moderated by urban heat island effects and light winds. KMA short-range forecasts accurately projected regional morning lows of 10-11°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge, aligning with early May climatology where Seoul minima average 12-15°C but recent continental air flows have trended cooler. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this locked-in data, with daytime highs nearing 20°C eliminating further drops. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision or overlooked microsite measurement below 10°C, though highly improbable given current monitoring. Final KMA daily summary expected later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$39,623结束日期
2026-05-09市场开放时间
May 7, 2026, 12:01 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Incheon International Airport station—the official resolution source—confirm Seoul's lowest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 10°C during pre-dawn hours around 3-6 AM under clear skies promoting radiative cooling, but moderated by urban heat island effects and light winds. KMA short-range forecasts accurately projected regional morning lows of 10-11°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge, aligning with early May climatology where Seoul minima average 12-15°C but recent continental air flows have trended cooler. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this locked-in data, with daytime highs nearing 20°C eliminating further drops. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision or overlooked microsite measurement below 10°C, though highly improbable given current monitoring. Final KMA daily summary expected later today.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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