Trader consensus on the 2026 NL Hank Aaron Award clusters tightly among elite hitters like Shohei Ohtani, Fernando Tatis Jr., and Mookie Betts, reflecting the National League's deep offensive talent pool where multiple stars boast comparable power-speed profiles and recent MVP-caliber campaigns. Ohtani edges ahead at 41.5% implied probability on his Dodgers dominance and .310 average in 2024, but Tatis (38.0%) gains from full health post-injuries, while Betts (36.9%) and Bryce Harper (33.1%) leverage proven consistency despite age-33 campaigns looming. Rising Cubs outfielder Pete Crow-Armstrong (31.6%) and recovering Ronald Acuña Jr. (31.1%) add upside volatility, as traders balance projections, injury histories, and park effects in a wide-open race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于MLB : 2026年NL Hank Aaron获胜者
MLB : 2026年NL Hank Aaron获胜者
穆奇·贝茨 35.5%
布莱斯·哈珀 35.5%
胡安·索托 17%
凯尔·施瓦伯 9%
$80,352 交易量
$80,352 交易量
穆奇·贝茨
36%
布莱斯·哈珀
36%
胡安·索托
17%
凯尔·施瓦伯
9%
皮特·克劳-阿姆斯特朗
3%
Ketel Marte
13%
弗朗西斯科·林多尔
16%
大谷翔平
41%
罗纳德·阿库尼亚 Jr.
37%
费尔南多·塔蒂斯 Jr.
37%
穆奇·贝茨 35.5%
布莱斯·哈珀 35.5%
胡安·索托 17%
凯尔·施瓦伯 9%
$80,352 交易量
$80,352 交易量
穆奇·贝茨
36%
布莱斯·哈珀
36%
胡安·索托
17%
凯尔·施瓦伯
9%
皮特·克劳-阿姆斯特朗
3%
Ketel Marte
13%
弗朗西斯科·林多尔
16%
大谷翔平
41%
罗纳德·阿库尼亚 Jr.
37%
费尔南多·塔蒂斯 Jr.
37%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the 2026 NL Hank Aaron Award clusters tightly among elite hitters like Shohei Ohtani, Fernando Tatis Jr., and Mookie Betts, reflecting the National League's deep offensive talent pool where multiple stars boast comparable power-speed profiles and recent MVP-caliber campaigns. Ohtani edges ahead at 41.5% implied probability on his Dodgers dominance and .310 average in 2024, but Tatis (38.0%) gains from full health post-injuries, while Betts (36.9%) and Bryce Harper (33.1%) leverage proven consistency despite age-33 campaigns looming. Rising Cubs outfielder Pete Crow-Armstrong (31.6%) and recovering Ronald Acuña Jr. (31.1%) add upside volatility, as traders balance projections, injury histories, and park effects in a wide-open race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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